USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-14 Women's Foil

Friday, July 8, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SENIC Adeline - - - - 1% 21% 77%
2 AMR HOSSNY Sara - - - 1% 11% 45% 42%
3 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. - - - - 1% 14% 85%
3 TAN Kaitlyn N. - - - - 4% 27% 69%
5 CHEN Allison V. - - - - - 11% 88%
6 SUN Ruoxi - - - 1% 7% 35% 58%
7 EYER Hailey M. - - - - 2% 24% 74%
8 CALISE Ella - - 6% 29% 48% 16%
9 GOOR Viviene E. - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
9 CHO Rebecca H. - - - - 3% 25% 72%
9 KIM Rachel - - 3% 18% 40% 32% 6%
12 FEDELI Caterina S. - - - - - 12% 87%
13 LEE Lavender - - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
14 WANDJI Anais - - - 5% 32% 63%
15 CHUSID Mikayla - - - - - 11% 88%
16 RAO Sonia D. - 1% 7% 27% 41% 22% 1%
17 LIU Jaelyn A. - - - - - 8% 92%
17 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia - - - 2% 17% 51% 29%
19 LIU Angel(Daying) - - - 2% 20% 79%
20 WU Celine - - 1% 9% 32% 43% 15%
21 MI Aileen - - 1% 12% 45% 41%
22 ROY Layla - - 1% 8% 40% 51%
23 VO Bao-Vy 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2%
24 COOPER Piper W. - - 1% 6% 26% 49% 19%
25 LIU Joy Zhaoyi - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
26 ORVANANOS Anice - - - 3% 20% 45% 31%
27 YANG Iris - - - 1% 10% 41% 48%
28 LI Sophia M. - - 1% 9% 34% 42% 14%
29 SEO IRENE Y. - - - 2% 13% 42% 44%
30 MEI Sarah - - 3% 20% 50% 27%
31 LUH Mia P. - 3% 17% 40% 35% 4%
32 KAPUSTINA Arina - - 3% 16% 40% 38% 3%
33 BIODROWICZ Julia - - 2% 12% 36% 39% 11%
34 DAVIS Bonnie Z. - - - 6% 32% 52% 9%
34 ZHOU Catherine - - 9% 32% 40% 17% 1%
36 HAN Crystal - - 3% 16% 37% 33% 10%
37 LUO Sandra J. - - - 1% 12% 42% 45%
38 ZHENG Julie - - 1% 7% 33% 51% 9%
38 LIPKOVITZ Rivka - - 3% 19% 42% 30% 5%
40 NAIR Supriya - 1% 6% 22% 40% 29% 2%
41 WANG Jasmine - 2% 11% 32% 38% 16% 1%
42 ZHANG Eunice - 1% 9% 33% 45% 11%
42 YANG Audrey - 5% 27% 46% 20% 2%
44 CHEW Alexis T. - - 1% 9% 39% 51%
45 FUNG Emma - 1% 6% 27% 46% 20%
46 CHEN Renee - - 1% 10% 36% 39% 13%
47 SHA Yi Ling - - 3% 16% 41% 34% 6%
48 WEI Angela - 6% 25% 39% 25% 5% -
49 KO Claire - 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1%
50 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8% -
51 TRACZ Calleigh D. - 2% 18% 43% 31% 6% -
51 HAN Ashley - 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
51 LEE Allison - - 1% 12% 36% 41% 10%
51 GUAN Adeline - 1% 12% 35% 37% 13% 1%
55 LEVY Avery - 3% 16% 37% 32% 10% 1%
55 SHENG Chuxi - 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 3%
57 BOLES Amanda X. - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6% -
58 DO Leila - 1% 8% 29% 45% 16% 1%
59 SHIM Grace J. - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 15%
59 SAIFEE Lamya 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
61 HOBSON Ava - 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 3%
62 FUNG Vera - - 5% 21% 39% 29% 6%
63 CHOW Annabelle - 1% 8% 29% 42% 21%
64 GREENLEAF Ella 6% 26% 39% 24% 5% - -
65 LEE emily 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
66 MU Allison 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 3% -
67 CHEN Chloe I. - - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
67 MCSHERRY Ava - 1% 6% 24% 41% 25% 4%
69 BAWA Sahana - 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
70 FENG Grace - 4% 22% 40% 26% 6% -
71 HSU Kaylin 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4% -
72 SWANSON Alexa 1% 11% 35% 37% 13% 2% -
73 YAN Noelle - 7% 34% 42% 15% 2%
74 CHANG Elizabeth - - 5% 28% 49% 18%
75 PAULUS Sloane - 13% 42% 35% 8% 1%
76 DESERANNO Seren 3% 20% 39% 30% 8% -
77 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan 14% 39% 35% 12% 1% -
78 ZHENG Zoe 1% 12% 41% 35% 11% 1% -
79 BEAVER Ava - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9% 1%
80 DAVIS Logan - 1% 12% 36% 37% 14% 1%
81 SHEN Emilia - 2% 12% 34% 36% 13% 1%
82 PAULUS Isabella 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
83 WANG Celine S. 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
84 ZHUANG Christina - - 5% 21% 42% 30% 1%
84 SUN Emily - - 9% 33% 40% 17% 1%
86 HO Addison 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7% -
87 LI Han 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
88 HAFEZ Tahiyah 2% 18% 36% 31% 11% 2% -
89 HAN Katherine 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 4% -
90 LAO Sophia 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
91 STRUGAR Steliana - - 6% 25% 41% 24% 3%
91 HUBERT AVA CLAIRE 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3% -
93 ZHANG Selena - 1% 14% 37% 35% 11% 1%
94 LI Eleanor 9% 32% 38% 17% 3% - -
95 BROWN Lola 1% 9% 32% 39% 17% 3% -
95 GAO Anne 2% 18% 40% 30% 9% 1% -
97 LUO Miranda 2% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
98 CHERNYKH Elina 15% 43% 32% 9% 1% - -
99 YANG Emma - 8% 38% 41% 13% 1%
100 REN Kayley - 10% 37% 40% 12% 1%
101 PEVZNER Nicole 7% 29% 40% 21% 4% -
102 VANMOORSEL Faye 37% 47% 14% 1% - -
103 FIELD Julianna 7% 30% 40% 19% 4% -
104 QUINTERO Camila 41% 41% 15% 2% - -
105 LAI Sophia - 2% 25% 42% 25% 5% -
106 DENG Melissa 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
107 CASTANEDA Keira - 1% 9% 35% 42% 12% 1%
108 KIM Chloe 1% 8% 30% 39% 19% 4% -
109 SHUM Maya - 3% 15% 35% 33% 12% 1%
110 ALKADI Mai 10% 31% 35% 19% 4% - -
111 LENK Sophie 2% 15% 39% 32% 10% 1% -
112 WYNN Kylie 7% 30% 38% 20% 4% - -
113 WANG Sunny 9% 29% 36% 21% 5% - -
114 GOLLNICK Mira - 7% 28% 39% 21% 4% -
115 LIAW Elaine 2% 18% 46% 28% 6% - -
115 PUOPOLO Mia 17% 51% 27% 5% - - -
117 LIU Lucy 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
118 SHMUKLER Maria 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
119 COX Sophia 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
120 POWLEDGE Cora 47% 40% 11% 1% - - -
121 NIRGUDE Esha 28% 44% 23% 5% - -
122 BUDKO Julia 6% 27% 40% 23% 4% -
123 ZELDIN Nadia 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
124 PENG Charlotte 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1% -
125 WANG Reese 6% 33% 40% 18% 3% - -
126 MARTIRE Alessandra 2% 15% 39% 33% 10% 1% -
127 BARTON Nanea 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
128 OWENS Elise 8% 36% 39% 15% 2% - -
129 DESAI Kanushi 16% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
130 HWANG Chanel 34% 45% 18% 3% - - -
131 WANG CAROL 18% 45% 30% 7% 1% -
132 HOVAGHIMIAN Fira 2% 18% 45% 29% 6% -
133 HUSSIAN Annabelle 81% 18% 1% - - -
134 JIN Amie 74% 24% 2% - - -
135 ZHAO Aimee 28% 44% 23% 5% 1% - -
136 GOEL Riyana 43% 43% 13% 2% - - -
137 ZHANG Ivy 9% 35% 41% 14% 2% - -
138 EVELAND Zoe 7% 30% 39% 20% 4% - -
139 BURGESS Logan 21% 48% 26% 5% - - -
140 JIN Sophia 17% 39% 32% 10% 2% - -
141 PIQUETTE Annika 55% 37% 8% 1% - - -
142 TAN Isabella 19% 52% 24% 4% - - -
143 LEMASTERS Elise M. 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
144 CHENG Isa 48% 47% 4% - - - -
144 MADSEN Lindsey 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
146 BABB Cicely 40% 52% 7% - - - -
147 TEPMAN Alexandra D. 10% 33% 38% 17% 2% - -
148 YU Jane 4% 23% 40% 27% 6% -
149 XIE Lillian 2% 13% 36% 37% 12% 1%
150 MORALES Paulina 4% 21% 39% 28% 7% 1% -
151 REYNOLDS Lourdes 24% 44% 26% 5% - - -
152 CAO Kayla 30% 49% 18% 2% - -
153 KANG Marian 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
154 OCAK Yasemin 9% 37% 37% 15% 3% - -
155 ISHANOVA Sofia 6% 28% 41% 22% 4% - -
156 AADHI Hansika 5% 45% 38% 11% 1% -
157 HOOGSTRA Lucy 22% 46% 26% 5% - - -
157 SHELARE Mehal 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
159 SAUCEDO Fernanda 63% 31% 5% - - - -
159 ZOLDAN Gweniveve A. 3% 22% 42% 25% 6% 1% -
159 BROSS Lara 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
159 GUO Audrey 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
163 LAU Elena 10% 60% 27% 4% - -
164 CROMWELL Keira 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3% -
164 MCDERMOTT Catherine 5% 28% 42% 22% 3% - -
166 IQBAL Mariam 10% 30% 36% 19% 5% - -
166 WANG Hannah 58% 37% 5% - - - -
168 CANO Sofia 59% 36% 5% - - - -
169 TOMASI Samantha 41% 44% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.