USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div III Men's Saber

Friday, July 8, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HONG Steven - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
2 MICLAUS Justin - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
3 KILARI Krish - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
3 GLOZMAN Justin - - 5% 21% 36% 29% 9%
5 KASPER Aaron - - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
6 FLOT Tai A. - - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
7 GOLDMAN Noah R. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
8 PI Alexander - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 6%
9 CORTEZ Christopher - 1% 9% 33% 41% 16%
10 HAN Edward - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 8%
11 MYLEK Peter - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
12 DOLAN Charles R. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
13 YANG Dylan - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
14 GONG Jerry - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
15 GOLDIN Lucca 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2%
16 KALPATHY Rohit - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
17 KIBBAR Tomer L. - - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
18 KUMAR Sachit - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 9%
19 KROON Lucas - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
20 LIN Nick - - - 4% 17% 40% 39%
21 AKS Ari - 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 3%
22 YAN Kevin 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
23 ELLS Edward - 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
24 ZHUANG Rayken - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
25 VILLARREAL Mateo - 1% 4% 16% 32% 34% 14%
26 NOURELDIN Gabriel - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
27 CHAVES Matthew J. - - - 3% 16% 40% 40%
28 AN Damon - - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10%
29 CHOW William T. - 3% 20% 36% 29% 11% 1%
30 BONSELL Vance - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
31 EPSTEIN Oliver D. 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
32 PIWOWAR Alex - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
33 BONN-ELCHONESS Peter 2% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% < 1%
34 ZHOU Aeres Z. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
34 PAN Alex - 1% 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
36 BYON Adrian - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
37 HERNANDEZ Stanton - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
38 GOLD Carter - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 5%
39 WEBER Mattias A. - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
40 KWALWASSER Eric - - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
41 LAU Justin Y. 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2%
42 WU Wilmund - 2% 15% 39% 34% 10%
43 BROU Inkosi - 1% 10% 27% 36% 22% 5%
44 CHEEMA Hyder - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
44 BOSITA Carson - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
46 HUROWITZ Max - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
47 LOPEZ Lucas M. - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
48 DUDNICK Christian 1% 8% 22% 33% 26% 9% 1%
49 SOUTHWORTH Nathaniel - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
50 MCNEAR Chelan S. 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
51 FIELDS Matthew S. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
52 MAY Griffin M. - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
53 SAVOY Luca - 5% 21% 38% 29% 8%
54 SPOSATO Andrew P. - 1% 10% 30% 39% 19%
55 LUHMAN Gabriel 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
56 ABDELLAHI Aziz - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
57 LO Andrew T. - 2% 13% 36% 34% 13% 2%
58 ROE Finnegan 1% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
59 CAISSE Simon B. - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 7%
60 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 3%
61 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. - - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
62 KAPOOR Tanmay 4% 42% 40% 13% 2% -
63 ZOLLER Matthew - 1% 9% 25% 37% 24% 4%
64 RAMANAN Jaisimh - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
65 NG Jeremiah - - 2% 13% 31% 37% 16%
66 MOL Spencer - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
67 PATIL Aaryan A. - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 10%
68 GOLD Jackson - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
69 JAIN Aniket 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
70 LO Bradley - 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
71 CRAIG Samuel - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
72 POFF Kainoa 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% 1% -
73 VENU Ram 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
74 SCHIRF Aidan 8% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
75 CUNNINGHAM-SNELSON Aahil 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
75 LIU Yizhe 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
77 WU Richard - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
78 CHEN Andrew - 1% 7% 22% 37% 27% 6%
79 STEVENS Jeffrey 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
80 REED Samuel J. 1% 7% 26% 38% 24% 5%
81 STERN Tobias 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
82 WEN Edward - 4% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
83 FORT David - 5% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1%
84 SHAHZAD Azlan A. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
85 HENRY Dillon P. - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
85 YOU Jaden - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
87 CHENG Hong - 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
88 YANG Joshua - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
89 BOLTON Lucas R. - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
90 CARL Ryan 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
91 RICHARDSON Troy A. - 2% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
92 BROOK Joel 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
93 FERGUSON Constantine 2% 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
94 BIRKS Evan D. 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
94 LEITH Jack - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
96 FENKER William M. - - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
97 WILKINSON James 9% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
98 SUGIURA Samuel 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
99 LI Li 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
100 SILVA Daniel - - 5% 25% 44% 25%
101 HU Andrew 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
102 RODGERS Jacob 38% 42% 17% 3% - -
103 DEKA Tanush 1% 16% 42% 31% 9% 1%
104 HUSTON Theodore 11% 36% 35% 15% 3% -
105 POSY Daniel 2% 12% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
106 YERRAMILLI Tejas 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
107 HOUTZ Mitchell B. 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
108 BOSITA Ethan 54% 37% 8% 1% - - -
109 ZHOU James Y. 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
110 GRIFFITH Joseph - 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
111 KLEBS Robert 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 3% -
111 WU Yiyang - - 4% 19% 37% 30% 8%
113 ST.CLAIRE-KING Tenzin 8% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
114 MUNGOVAN Matthew 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
115 STAMIS Kyle - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
116 YAN Leonard Z. 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
117 CAMERON Dalton 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
118 HOOLE Colson 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
119 COHEN Charlie 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
120 MADSEN Jr Eric W. 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
121 SHETTY VIVAN 9% 35% 38% 15% 3% - -
122 SCHWIEBERT Harrison 32% 43% 20% 4% 1% - -
123 OLARIO Raphael 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
124 RAMTEKKAR Soham 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
125 MORINAKA Kenison - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
126 FOX Gavin 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
127 KIM Evan 13% 45% 32% 9% 1% - -
128 HERRERA Aragon 16% 42% 31% 10% 1% - -
129 LIN Felix 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
130 REBELLO Derek - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
131 PARK Caleb 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
132 BEAUCHAMP Reilly E. 11% 37% 37% 13% 2% - -
132 FUHRIG Max 30% 43% 21% 5% 1% - -
134 HO Jacob 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
135 IDRIS Haashir 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
136 YEE Collin 40% 44% 14% 1% - - -
137 PRABAKARAN Nakula 16% 39% 31% 12% 2% - -
138 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 36% 43% 18% 3% - - -
139 LARMORE Jonathan 9% 34% 35% 17% 4% - -
140 HOLLOWAY Adam 55% 37% 8% 1% - - -
141 LINDON Michael A. 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
142 RIESTERER Jacob 25% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
143 BLOODWORTH Drake 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
144 LOTH Connor 9% 39% 35% 14% 3% - -
145 ZHONG Xuan 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
146 TUNG Ryan 31% 44% 21% 4% - - -
147 WHITE Blake 85% 14% 1% - - -
148 MOL Justin 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
148 WANG HongXi 46% 40% 12% 2% - - -
148 JUNG Edward 17% 55% 24% 4% - - -
151 GISTOVER Noah 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
152 WINER Heath B. 12% 39% 34% 13% 2% -
153 JONES Dominic R. 32% 43% 20% 5% - - -
154 BEEM Noah 7% 31% 43% 17% 2% - -
155 WHITE Joshua H. 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
156 XU James 60% 34% 6% - - - -
156 FARIDI Imran 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
156 BOUSKA Christopher 10% 39% 35% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.