USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div III Men's Saber

Friday, July 8, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HONG Steven 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
2 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
3 KILARI Krish 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
3 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9%
5 KASPER Aaron 100% 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9%
6 FLOT Tai A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
7 GOLDMAN Noah R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
8 PI Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
9 CORTEZ Christopher 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 16%
10 HAN Edward 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
11 MYLEK Peter 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
12 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
13 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
14 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
15 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
16 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
17 KIBBAR Tomer L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
18 KUMAR Sachit 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
19 KROON Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 15%
20 LIN Nick 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
21 AKS Ari 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 18% 3%
22 YAN Kevin 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
23 ELLS Edward 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
24 ZHUANG Rayken 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
25 VILLARREAL Mateo 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 47% 14%
26 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
27 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 40%
28 AN Damon 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
29 CHOW William T. 100% 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 1%
30 BONSELL Vance 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
31 EPSTEIN Oliver D. 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 12% 2%
32 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
33 BONN-ELCHONESS Peter 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2% < 1%
34 ZHOU Aeres Z. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
34 PAN Alex 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
36 BYON Adrian 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
37 HERNANDEZ Stanton 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
38 GOLD Carter 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 24% 5%
39 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 3%
40 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 11%
41 LAU Justin Y. 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
42 WU Wilmund 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 10%
43 BROU Inkosi 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
44 CHEEMA Hyder 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 9%
44 BOSITA Carson 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
46 HUROWITZ Max 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
47 LOPEZ Lucas M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5%
48 DUDNICK Christian 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 10% 1%
49 SOUTHWORTH Nathaniel 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 8%
50 MCNEAR Chelan S. 100% 98% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
51 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 11%
52 MAY Griffin M. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
53 SAVOY Luca 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
54 SPOSATO Andrew P. 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 19%
55 LUHMAN Gabriel 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
56 ABDELLAHI Aziz 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 4%
57 LO Andrew T. 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 15% 2%
58 ROE Finnegan 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
59 CAISSE Simon B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 7%
60 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 20% 3%
61 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
62 KAPOOR Tanmay 100% 96% 54% 14% 2% -
63 ZOLLER Matthew 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 4%
64 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
65 NG Jeremiah 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
66 MOL Spencer 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 4%
67 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
68 GOLD Jackson 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
69 JAIN Aniket 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
70 LO Bradley 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
71 CRAIG Samuel 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
72 POFF Kainoa 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
73 VENU Ram 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
74 SCHIRF Aidan 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% - -
75 CUNNINGHAM-SNELSON Aahil 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
75 LIU Yizhe 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
77 WU Richard 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
78 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 6%
79 STEVENS Jeffrey 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
80 REED Samuel J. 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 5%
81 STERN Tobias 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
82 WEN Edward 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
83 FORT David 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
84 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
85 HENRY Dillon P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
85 YOU Jaden 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
87 CHENG Hong 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
88 YANG Joshua 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
89 BOLTON Lucas R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
90 CARL Ryan 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
91 RICHARDSON Troy A. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
92 BROOK Joel 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
93 FERGUSON Constantine 100% 98% 84% 49% 17% 3% -
94 BIRKS Evan D. 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
94 LEITH Jack 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
96 FENKER William M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
97 WILKINSON James 100% 91% 64% 31% 9% 1% -
98 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
99 LI Li 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
100 SILVA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 25%
101 HU Andrew 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
102 RODGERS Jacob 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
103 DEKA Tanush 100% 99% 84% 41% 10% 1%
104 HUSTON Theodore 100% 89% 52% 18% 3% -
105 POSY Daniel 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
106 YERRAMILLI Tejas 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
107 HOUTZ Mitchell B. 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
108 BOSITA Ethan 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
109 ZHOU James Y. 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
110 GRIFFITH Joseph 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
111 KLEBS Robert 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
111 WU Yiyang 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
113 ST.CLAIRE-KING Tenzin 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% - -
114 MUNGOVAN Matthew 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
115 STAMIS Kyle 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
116 YAN Leonard Z. 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
117 CAMERON Dalton 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
118 HOOLE Colson 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
119 COHEN Charlie 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
120 MADSEN Jr Eric W. 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
121 SHETTY VIVAN 100% 91% 56% 18% 3% - -
122 SCHWIEBERT Harrison 100% 68% 25% 5% 1% - -
123 OLARIO Raphael 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
124 RAMTEKKAR Soham 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
125 MORINAKA Kenison 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
126 FOX Gavin 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
127 KIM Evan 100% 87% 42% 11% 1% - -
128 HERRERA Aragon 100% 84% 42% 11% 1% - -
129 LIN Felix 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
130 REBELLO Derek 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 20% 3%
131 PARK Caleb 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
132 BEAUCHAMP Reilly E. 100% 89% 52% 14% 2% - -
132 FUHRIG Max 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
134 HO Jacob 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
135 IDRIS Haashir 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
136 YEE Collin 100% 60% 16% 1% - - -
137 PRABAKARAN Nakula 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
138 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
139 LARMORE Jonathan 100% 91% 57% 21% 5% 1% -
140 HOLLOWAY Adam 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
141 LINDON Michael A. 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
142 RIESTERER Jacob 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% - -
143 BLOODWORTH Drake 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
144 LOTH Connor 100% 91% 52% 16% 3% - -
145 ZHONG Xuan 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
146 TUNG Ryan 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
147 WHITE Blake 100% 15% 1% - - -
148 MOL Justin 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
148 WANG HongXi 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
148 JUNG Edward 100% 83% 28% 5% - - -
151 GISTOVER Noah 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
152 WINER Heath B. 100% 88% 49% 15% 2% -
153 JONES Dominic R. 100% 68% 25% 5% 1% - -
154 BEEM Noah 100% 93% 62% 19% 2% - -
155 WHITE Joshua H. 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
156 XU James 100% 40% 6% 1% - - -
156 FARIDI Imran 100% 64% 23% 4% - - -
156 BOUSKA Christopher 100% 90% 50% 15% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.