USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, July 9, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE REGINA 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
2 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
3 WATTANAKIT Anda 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
3 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
5 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 36%
6 SHIV Avni 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
7 BEAVER Ava 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 38%
8 WANG Jessie 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
9 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
10 LEE Claire 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
10 WANG Ziqi 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
12 DEPOMMIER Isabelle 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
13 KUMAR Eva 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
14 MISHIMA Audrey 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
15 PROFIS Liora 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
16 MENDOZA zoie 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2%
17 WANG Victoria 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11%
18 PHUKAN Indra 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 18%
19 STERR Isabella M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 19%
20 BEATIE Isabella M. 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9% 1%
21 GUO Luxi 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 9%
22 CARRIER Meredith 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 4%
23 YILMAZ Pinar 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
24 LEE Camilla 100% 100% 93% 58% 18% 2%
25 WANG Ziqiao 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
26 LISCUM Vivian 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
27 MONOVA Lilyana 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
28 NIX Reagan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
29 QIU Emily 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
30 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
31 LEE Lavender 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
32 KWON Genevie 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1%
33 NOVOJILOV Anastasia 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
34 KUDRYAVTSEVA Margarita 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 46% 12%
35 PEI Claire 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
36 RICHARDSON Meredith 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 6%
37 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
38 CAMAMA Tessa 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
39 SCHMITT Harper 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 5%
40 LIN Laura 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1% -
41 PAN Angela 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
42 NGUYEN Ella 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% - -
43 SHEN Yongen 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 4%
44 KALGAONKAR Arohi 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
45 HABEK Sophia 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
46 BI Michelle 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
47 MARTINEZ Christina 100% 80% 30% 5% - -
48 ABUELFUTUH Sama 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
49 READ Lyla 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
50 FRANGER Macy 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 6% -
51 LIN Ariel 100% 100% 98% 85% 57% 23% 4%
52 MEYER Rebecca 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
53 CUEVA Viola 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
54 MOLLINIER Anais 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 20% 2%
54 ZHUANG Lauren 100% 98% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
56 WRIGHT Madison 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
57 IYER Ishana 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 1%
58 GUAN Isabella 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 11%
59 PILSON Rebecca 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
60 HEMPHILL Joey 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
61 KANE Chloe 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% -
62 WONG Caitlin 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
63 FLITMAN Gabrielle 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
64 WANG Sophie Y. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2% -
65 YU Eva 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
66 WU Jessica 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
67 VALDEZ Emma 100% 97% 74% 33% 7% 1%
68 LY Hannah 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
69 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
70 LEE Gloria 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
71 MCQUEEN Morgan 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
72 PRESMAN Aerin 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 10%
73 JIANG Xinchen 100% 94% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
74 NEELAM Navya 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
75 BOWLING Lillian 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13% 1%
76 QI Julieanne 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
77 WORKNEH Lulit 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -
78 HANKINS Morgan 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 22%
79 LEE Valerie 100% 93% 59% 20% 3% -
80 WANG Zoe 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
81 TISMENSKY Abigail 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
82 TISMENSKY Avital 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
83 KROPP Anne 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
83 WANG Emma 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
85 WHITELAW Shyann 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
86 ELTERMAN Kate 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
87 WANG Sijia 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
88 BOROTKO Katerina 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 3%
89 BURICEA Ada 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
90 LEE Emma 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
91 GARINEY tanvi 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
92 CHERNIS Liah 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
93 HALE Reagan 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
94 JORDAN Zoe 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 5% -
95 ZHU Riley 100% 98% 85% 47% 8% -
96 WANG Sara 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1%
97 HALE Avery 100% 52% 13% 2% - -
98 XU Jessica 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
99 COX Allison 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
100 WONG Sydney 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
101 WANG Cecilia 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
102 HOY Emmarose 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
103 HU Chloe 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
104 WANG Aria 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
105 MYRAH Vivienne 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 2%
106 BLANCO Ariia 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 3%
107 ZHAO Yanning 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
108 PATTERSON Liliya 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
109 ZHONG Isabell 100% 55% 12% 1% - -
110 CHEN Alina 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
110 LIANG Angela 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
110 KIM Yeryung 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
110 JAQUISH Zoey 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
114 ZHANG Jane 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
114 TALANDZEVICIUS Sophia 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
116 PARK elli 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
117 JONES Veronica C. 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
117 DAVIS Violet 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
119 SIMHADRI Sanjana 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
120 STERN Savannah 100% 65% 23% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.