USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div II Men's Saber

Saturday, July 9, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TONG ZACHARY - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 27%
2 DENG Andrew - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
3 GHAYALOD Ansh - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
3 CHOI Silas - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
5 ZHOU Miles - 1% 5% 20% 37% 29% 7%
6 RESHEIDAT Malik - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
7 REN Richard - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
8 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - - - 4% 20% 42% 34%
9 LOPEZ Lucas M. - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
10 PIWOWAR Alex - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
11 OH Triton - 1% 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
12 ZHANG Derek - - 1% 8% 27% 43% 21%
13 ZHANG Ethan W. - 5% 23% 41% 27% 5%
14 NG Jeremiah - - 5% 23% 39% 27% 6%
15 LUO George F. - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 8%
16 XUE ALEXANDER - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 18%
17 REYES Xavier M. - - 1% 5% 23% 43% 29%
18 GAO Albert - - 7% 31% 45% 17%
19 SWORDS Evan F. - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
20 XU Andrew - - 1% 5% 23% 44% 27%
21 CORTEZ Christopher - - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
22 YANG Dylan - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
23 ZHENG Edward L. - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
24 GUAN Luke 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
25 KIM Alexander M. - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
26 NOURELDIN Gabriel - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
27 LU Caleb Q. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 5%
28 GOLDMAN Noah R. - 1% 7% 23% 35% 27% 8%
29 FLOT Tai A. - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
30 PI Alexander 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
31 CHAVES Matthew J. - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 12%
32 EPSTEIN Oliver D. - 4% 18% 35% 30% 10% 1%
33 MICLAUS Justin - 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 7%
34 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. - 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6%
34 LO Konnor - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
36 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
37 KUMAR Sachit - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
38 BUKOWSKI Bronson - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
39 KIBBAR Tomer L. - 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
40 GOLDIN Lucca 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
41 BEITEL Noah - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
42 KIM-COGAN Ryan - - 2% 15% 44% 39%
43 WANG Nicolas 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
44 MORALES Jonathan 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
45 ZENG Noah - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
46 CHEEMA Hyder - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 4%
46 HAN Daniel Y. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
48 SCHERER Max - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
49 CHEONG Heonjun - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
49 PAN Alex 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
51 REBELLO Derek 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
52 LO Bradley 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
53 YOU Jaden - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
54 BONSELL Vance - 2% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1%
55 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2%
56 CAISSE Simon B. - 2% 18% 43% 30% 6%
57 MARGULIES William - 1% 6% 20% 34% 30% 10%
58 HONG Steven - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
59 DOLAN Charles R. - 3% 15% 30% 32% 17% 3%
60 MARQUEZ Jeremy - 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2%
61 FIELDS Matthew S. - 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
62 VENU Ram 4% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
63 SILVA Daniel - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
64 VO Minh Q. 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 1%
65 ZHOU Aeres Z. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
66 REED Samuel J. 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1%
67 POFF Kainoa 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
68 HUROWITZ Max 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
69 HAN Edward 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
70 SHAHZAD Azlan A. - 1% 14% 37% 34% 13% 2%
71 DUDNICK Christian 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
72 HENRY Dillon P. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
73 ROE Finnegan 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
74 GRIFFITH Joseph 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
75 GONG Jerry 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 12% 2%
76 CHOW William T. - 10% 33% 38% 17% 2%
77 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 3%
78 COVINGTON Max G. - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
79 MCCARTHY Gabriel - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
80 SPOSATO Andrew P. - 1% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2%
81 MOL Spencer - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4%
82 LIN Nick - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
83 BROU Inkosi 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 2%
83 GLOZMAN Justin - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
85 FENKER William M. - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 22%
86 VILLARREAL Mateo - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
87 KALPATHY Rohit 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
88 WEBER Mattias A. 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
89 HU Andrew - 5% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
90 BYON Adrian 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
91 GREENE Cameron J. - 3% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
91 AKS Ari 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
91 GOLD Carter - 2% 27% 41% 24% 6% 1%
94 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
95 CRAIG Samuel 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
96 LAU Justin Y. 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
96 RAMANAN Jaisimh 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
98 LEITH Jack 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2%
99 ELLS Edward - 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
100 HERNANDEZ Stanton - 8% 30% 39% 20% 3%
101 WU Yiyang 5% 22% 34% 27% 10% 2%
102 GOLD Jackson 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
103 SAVOY Luca 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
104 RODGERS Jacob 26% 49% 22% 3% - -
105 YAN Leonard Z. 3% 31% 42% 21% 4% -
106 POSY Daniel 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
107 BOSITA Carson - 5% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
108 RIGGINS Littleton K. - - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
109 FERGUSON Constantine 5% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
110 STERN Tobias 4% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
111 LO Andrew T. 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
112 HOOLE Colson 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
113 ZHUANG Rayken 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
113 MYLEK Peter 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
115 HO Jacob 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
116 CARL Ryan 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
117 ROBBINS Christopher (Chris) W. 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
118 STAMIS Kyle 2% 13% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
119 SOUTHWORTH Nathaniel 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
119 KASPER Aaron - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
119 JAIN Aniket 14% 35% 32% 15% 4% - -
122 ZHU Charlie 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 5% 1%
123 ABDELLAHI Aziz 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
124 SHANKAR Karthik 7% 29% 39% 20% 4% -
125 KLEBS Robert 3% 21% 46% 25% 5% -
126 FORT David 10% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1%
126 STEVENS Jeffrey 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
128 AN Damon 1% 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
129 MCNEAR Chelan S. 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
130 RAMTEKKAR Soham 12% 41% 33% 12% 2% - -
131 ST.CLAIRE-KING Tenzin 20% 52% 23% 4% - - -
132 LINDON Michael A. 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
132 COHEN Charlie 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -
134 CAMPBELL Tobias 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -
134 MORAN William 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
136 YANG Joshua 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
137 LUHMAN Gabriel 20% 42% 28% 9% 2% - -
138 BLOODWORTH Drake 20% 46% 27% 7% 1% - -
138 SHETTY VIVAN 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
140 WHITE Blake 59% 38% 3% - - - -
141 JUNG Edward 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -
142 WANG HongXi 46% 43% 10% 1% - - -
143 DEKA Tanush 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
144 HINTON Nickolys R. 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
145 LIU Yizhe 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
146 FARIDI Imran 40% 46% 13% 1% - -
147 PARK Caleb 43% 41% 14% 2% - -
147 BEEM Noah 80% 19% 2% - - -
149 OLARIO Raphael 52% 38% 9% 1% - - -
149 BURGESS-LINDEN Ian 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
151 HERRERA Aragon 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
151 IDRIS Haashir 23% 42% 26% 8% 1% - -
151 CAMERON Dalton 35% 41% 19% 4% 1% - -
151 YEE Collin 57% 37% 6% - - - -
155 HUSTON Theodore 28% 43% 22% 6% 1% - -
155 HOLLOWAY Adam 32% 61% 7% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.