USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div II Men's Saber

Saturday, July 9, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
2 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
3 GHAYALOD Ansh 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
3 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
5 ZHOU Miles 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
6 RESHEIDAT Malik 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
7 REN Richard 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
8 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
9 LOPEZ Lucas M. 100% 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
10 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
11 OH Triton 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
12 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
13 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 5%
14 NG Jeremiah 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
15 LUO George F. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
16 XUE ALEXANDER 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
17 REYES Xavier M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
18 GAO Albert 100% 100% 100% 93% 62% 17%
19 SWORDS Evan F. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
20 XU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
21 CORTEZ Christopher 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
22 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
23 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
24 GUAN Luke 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
25 KIM Alexander M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
26 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
27 LU Caleb Q. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
28 GOLDMAN Noah R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
29 FLOT Tai A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
30 PI Alexander 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
31 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 12%
32 EPSTEIN Oliver D. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
33 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 7%
34 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
34 LO Konnor 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
36 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
37 KUMAR Sachit 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
38 BUKOWSKI Bronson 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
39 KIBBAR Tomer L. 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
40 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
41 BEITEL Noah 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
42 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
43 WANG Nicolas 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
44 MORALES Jonathan 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
45 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 20%
46 CHEEMA Hyder 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
46 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
48 SCHERER Max 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
49 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
49 PAN Alex 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 2%
51 REBELLO Derek 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
52 LO Bradley 100% 96% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
53 YOU Jaden 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
54 BONSELL Vance 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
55 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 2%
56 CAISSE Simon B. 100% 100% 98% 80% 37% 6%
57 MARGULIES William 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 10%
58 HONG Steven 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
59 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
60 MARQUEZ Jeremy 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
61 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
62 VENU Ram 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
63 SILVA Daniel 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 11%
64 VO Minh Q. 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 11% 1%
65 ZHOU Aeres Z. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
66 REED Samuel J. 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
67 POFF Kainoa 100% 93% 64% 28% 6% 1% -
68 HUROWITZ Max 100% 99% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
69 HAN Edward 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
70 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 100% 99% 86% 49% 15% 2%
71 DUDNICK Christian 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
72 HENRY Dillon P. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
73 ROE Finnegan 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
74 GRIFFITH Joseph 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
75 GONG Jerry 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 14% 2%
76 CHOW William T. 100% 100% 90% 57% 19% 2%
77 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 3%
78 COVINGTON Max G. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
79 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 23% 4%
80 SPOSATO Andrew P. 100% 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 2%
81 MOL Spencer 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
82 LIN Nick 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
83 BROU Inkosi 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
83 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
85 FENKER William M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
86 VILLARREAL Mateo 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
87 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 13% 2%
88 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
89 HU Andrew 100% 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% -
90 BYON Adrian 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
91 GREENE Cameron J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
91 AKS Ari 100% 94% 68% 30% 8% 1% -
91 GOLD Carter 100% 100% 98% 71% 30% 6% 1%
94 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 3%
95 CRAIG Samuel 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 5% 1%
96 LAU Justin Y. 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
96 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
98 LEITH Jack 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
99 ELLS Edward 100% 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
100 HERNANDEZ Stanton 100% 100% 92% 62% 22% 3%
101 WU Yiyang 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2%
102 GOLD Jackson 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
103 SAVOY Luca 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2%
104 RODGERS Jacob 100% 74% 25% 3% - -
105 YAN Leonard Z. 100% 97% 67% 25% 4% -
106 POSY Daniel 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
107 BOSITA Carson 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
108 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
109 FERGUSON Constantine 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
110 STERN Tobias 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
111 LO Andrew T. 100% 93% 69% 34% 11% 2% -
112 HOOLE Colson 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
113 ZHUANG Rayken 100% 97% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
113 MYLEK Peter 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
115 HO Jacob 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
116 CARL Ryan 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
117 ROBBINS Christopher (Chris) W. 100% 93% 68% 35% 11% 2% -
118 STAMIS Kyle 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
119 SOUTHWORTH Nathaniel 100% 99% 93% 70% 37% 11% 1%
119 KASPER Aaron 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 3%
119 JAIN Aniket 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
122 ZHU Charlie 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 5% 1%
123 ABDELLAHI Aziz 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
124 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% -
125 KLEBS Robert 100% 97% 76% 30% 5% -
126 FORT David 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1%
126 STEVENS Jeffrey 100% 95% 70% 34% 8% 1%
128 AN Damon 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
129 MCNEAR Chelan S. 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
130 RAMTEKKAR Soham 100% 88% 47% 14% 2% - -
131 ST.CLAIRE-KING Tenzin 100% 80% 28% 5% - - -
132 LINDON Michael A. 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
132 COHEN Charlie 100% 55% 16% 3% - - -
134 CAMPBELL Tobias 100% 55% 16% 3% - - -
134 MORAN William 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
136 YANG Joshua 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
137 LUHMAN Gabriel 100% 80% 39% 11% 2% - -
138 BLOODWORTH Drake 100% 80% 34% 7% 1% - -
138 SHETTY VIVAN 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
140 WHITE Blake 100% 41% 3% - - - -
141 JUNG Edward 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
142 WANG HongXi 100% 54% 11% 1% - - -
143 DEKA Tanush 100% 80% 42% 14% 3% - -
144 HINTON Nickolys R. 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% -
145 LIU Yizhe 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
146 FARIDI Imran 100% 60% 15% 1% - -
147 PARK Caleb 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
147 BEEM Noah 100% 20% 2% - - -
149 OLARIO Raphael 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -
149 BURGESS-LINDEN Ian 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
151 HERRERA Aragon 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
151 IDRIS Haashir 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
151 CAMERON Dalton 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
151 YEE Collin 100% 43% 6% - - - -
155 HUSTON Theodore 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
155 HOLLOWAY Adam 100% 68% 7% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.