The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-10 Women's Saber

Sunday, July 10, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEI Zitong (Meya) - 1% 9% 30% 40% 19%
2 CONG Anne - - - 4% 19% 44% 33%
3 GONG Joy - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
3 GONZALEZ Veronika - - 4% 28% 48% 21%
5 KANG Ellie - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
6 FAN Alexandria - 2% 15% 43% 33% 7%
7 NEMORIN Rei - - 1% 9% 30% 42% 17%
8 KAUL Tara 1% 6% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
9 FOSS Persephone - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 22%
10 FUNG Iris - - - 4% 19% 41% 36%
11 KU Alathea-Joy - - 2% 13% 36% 37% 12%
12 XIONG Alina - 1% 8% 28% 42% 22%
13 SENGUPTA Jia - - 1% 10% 33% 40% 16%
14 KWON Ava - - 4% 15% 34% 35% 12%
15 CASTELO Soleil - 2% 17% 38% 33% 10%
16 MUTHAPPAN Sahana - 6% 26% 39% 23% 5%
17 LEOU Korina - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
18 LIN Elaine - 3% 19% 39% 30% 8%
19 WANG Emily 1% 11% 35% 36% 15% 2% < 1%
20 DHAR Rana - 4% 16% 31% 32% 15% 2%
21 MEYERSON Michelle - 3% 18% 39% 33% 7%
22 WANG JiaQi 1% 16% 38% 32% 11% 1%
23 MISHEV Lila - 3% 16% 37% 34% 11%
24 SUNG Isabella - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
25 GAY Alexandra - 5% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
26 KONZEN Iris - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
27 TA-ZHOU Sophia 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
28 HILD Anya 1% 11% 29% 34% 20% 5% -
29 PARK Haylie 4% 22% 38% 26% 8% 1%
30 NIU Jessica 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
31 ZHANG Olivia - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
32 YERENKOVA Ameliia 2% 25% 41% 25% 6% 1%
33 ZHANG Ashley - 5% 23% 38% 25% 7% 1%
34 BAK Milena 39% 45% 14% 2% - -
35 LIANG Claire 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
36 TONG Laurie - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
37 HU Heidi - 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
38 MARGULIS Roxana 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
39 REN Katherine 1% 10% 39% 36% 12% 2% -
40 BODROVA Vidana - - 2% 16% 45% 38%
41 GONG suri - 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
42 KWON Hannah - 4% 24% 42% 24% 5% -
43 KOU Nicole 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
44 YOUNG Sienna 1% 7% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
45 CHOI Charlotte 19% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
46 WANG Chloe 23% 47% 25% 4% - -
47 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 49% 41% 10% 1% - -
48 VENNE Sophie 6% 24% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
49 OLESKY Ellie 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
50 HUANG Pierra 26% 53% 18% 2% - - -
51 HWANG Sophie 23% 44% 26% 7% 1% - -
52 MELUL Michelle 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
53 LIU kai yin aria 5% 30% 49% 14% 1% -
54 FAN Tina 20% 50% 25% 5% - -
55 ZHU Avril 23% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
56 SEO Yunseo 78% 20% 2% - - -
57 BRIMMER Bella 33% 46% 18% 3% - - -
58 KARAVAS Lucy 50% 42% 8% - - - -
59 BACKES Anastasia 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.