USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-10 Women's Saber

Sunday, July 10, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
2 CONG Anne 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
3 GONG Joy 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
3 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 100% 100% 96% 68% 21%
5 KANG Ellie 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
6 FAN Alexandria 100% 100% 98% 84% 40% 7%
7 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
8 KAUL Tara 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
9 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 22%
10 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 36%
11 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 12%
12 XIONG Alina 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 22%
13 SENGUPTA Jia 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
14 KWON Ava 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
15 CASTELO Soleil 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 10%
16 MUTHAPPAN Sahana 100% 100% 94% 67% 28% 5%
17 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
18 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 97% 77% 38% 8%
19 WANG Emily 100% 99% 88% 53% 17% 2% < 1%
20 DHAR Rana 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
21 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 7%
22 WANG JiaQi 100% 99% 83% 45% 13% 1%
23 MISHEV Lila 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 11%
24 SUNG Isabella 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
25 GAY Alexandra 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
26 KONZEN Iris 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
27 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 79% 38% 11% 2% - -
28 HILD Anya 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% -
29 PARK Haylie 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
30 NIU Jessica 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
31 ZHANG Olivia 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
32 YERENKOVA Ameliia 100% 98% 73% 32% 7% 1%
33 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7% 1%
34 BAK Milena 100% 61% 16% 2% - -
35 LIANG Claire 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10% 1%
36 TONG Laurie 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
37 HU Heidi 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
38 MARGULIS Roxana 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
39 REN Katherine 100% 99% 89% 50% 14% 2% -
40 BODROVA Vidana 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
41 GONG suri 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 5%
42 KWON Hannah 100% 100% 96% 72% 30% 6% -
43 KOU Nicole 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
44 YOUNG Sienna 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
45 CHOI Charlotte 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% -
46 WANG Chloe 100% 77% 30% 5% - -
47 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 51% 11% 1% - -
48 VENNE Sophie 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
49 OLESKY Ellie 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
50 HUANG Pierra 100% 74% 21% 2% - - -
51 HWANG Sophie 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
52 MELUL Michelle 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
53 LIU kai yin aria 100% 95% 65% 16% 1% -
54 FAN Tina 100% 80% 30% 5% - -
55 ZHU Avril 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
56 SEO Yunseo 100% 22% 2% - - -
57 BRIMMER Bella 100% 67% 21% 3% - - -
58 KARAVAS Lucy 100% 50% 8% 1% - - -
59 BACKES Anastasia 100% 79% 38% 10% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.