USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div III Women's Saber

Sunday, July 10, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIAO Siwen - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
2 DAVIS Jayna M. - - 2% 14% 33% 36% 14%
3 SCOTT Eve 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
3 XIONG Haojiao - - - 5% 21% 42% 32%
5 LIM Jaslene - 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 9%
6 DENG Brooke - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
7 NGUYEN Ella - - 1% 6% 25% 45% 23%
8 MULAGARI Sadhika - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
9 MUND Ruth - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
10 ZHANG Sophie - - 1% 12% 33% 38% 15%
11 ADAMS Morrigan B. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
12 MANN Sophia J. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
13 ISBERG Natalie - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
14 TABANGAY Heartlyn - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
15 DAVIS Charlotte - 2% 13% 32% 34% 17% 3%
16 JOHNSTON Lily - 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
17 TUNG Renee 1% 6% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
18 FESTA Carina - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 13%
19 EVANS Madelynn - 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
20 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. - - 2% 9% 26% 40% 24%
21 MANSPERGER Leena - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
22 DAI Olivia - - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7%
22 SPRINGER Ella - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
24 FEIG Sela - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 26%
25 SCHICK Veronica - 5% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2%
26 BUHAY Kirsten M. - 4% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
27 LIN Sarah 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
28 TODD Peregrine 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
28 SHEN Jamie 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
30 FLATT Sophia 1% 6% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
31 ROBINSON Stella - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
32 NAYAK Anika 16% 39% 33% 11% 1% -
33 GOLOVITSER Maya 2% 15% 37% 32% 12% 2% < 1%
34 MACDONALD Kaylie S. - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
35 NAYAK Indra - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
36 KONDEV Elizabeth - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
37 HITOMI Nadya - 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
38 BROWNER June 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 2% -
39 BARTON Mele - 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
39 CHEN Kevy - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
41 GRAJALES Hannah E. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
42 MORALES Victoria J. - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
42 SU Emma - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
44 HAMBAZAZA Liisa - 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
45 SCHOEW Margot 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
46 ZHENG Valentina 8% 31% 39% 18% 3% -
47 KNIGHT Skylar 1% 7% 27% 40% 21% 3%
48 LIN Nicole - 2% 9% 24% 34% 25% 7%
49 YOUNG Audrey - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
50 PANIGRAHI Kingsley - 4% 17% 34% 32% 11% 1%
51 GOMERMAN Sophia - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
52 GRULICH Rayaana - - 4% 21% 39% 29% 7%
53 NAYAK Esha - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
53 CHARLES Caitlin 4% 23% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
55 LI Victoria 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
56 REGANTI Sitara 8% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
56 ATTIA Jasmine 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
58 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. - 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
59 YEN Natalie - 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
60 MUELLER Amelia D. 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
61 HUANG Madeline - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
62 FAN Grace - 2% 11% 25% 33% 22% 6%
63 CARLUCCI Laura A. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
64 DUDNICK Morgan 23% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
65 HORAN Alexa - - 2% 15% 36% 35% 12%
66 WILSON Sophie 43% 43% 13% 2% - - -
67 FANG sophie 1% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
68 NAYAK Mira - 4% 19% 37% 29% 9% 1%
69 SAWANT Asmi 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
70 LISSO Ria A. - - 3% 19% 46% 31%
71 CHAN Kayla 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
72 MONTORIO Lily M. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
73 BIRNSTILL Reese 10% 37% 36% 14% 2% - -
74 ZARETSKY Arielle - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
75 GAJOWSKYJ Sophie K. - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
76 ZOLLER Noelle 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% 1%
77 FREEDMAN Amelia F. 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
77 BAROUCH Susanna 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
79 RODGERS Rachel 16% 45% 30% 8% 1% - -
79 MILLER Sophia 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -
81 YAO Rainie 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
82 BERNSTEIN Aiden S. - 4% 19% 37% 29% 9% 1%
83 PANIGRAHI Emersen - 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1%
84 CLEARY Mel 4% 25% 45% 22% 4% - -
85 LIM Jovine - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
86 IYER Arushi 21% 40% 28% 10% 2% - -
87 JEAN Emmanuelle C. 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
88 WOODY Sophia 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
89 KEITH Margaret 19% 42% 29% 9% 1% - -
90 HOLMES Sabrina 6% 31% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
90 EGAN Caroline 12% 32% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
90 TESTROET Aubrey 28% 40% 24% 7% 1% - -
93 COLBY Mercer 2% 14% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
94 GERASIMOVA Valeria 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -
95 STRAYER Sofia I. 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
95 LABRECQUE Savannah 27% 40% 24% 8% 1% - -
95 CHOW Caitlyn 57% 34% 7% 1% - - -
98 LAZO Emily 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
99 ERBSEN Sarah 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
99 HERMAN Sabrina 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
99 RIESTERER Katherine 35% 46% 17% 2% - - -
102 PREIMESBERGER Elaine 41% 42% 14% 2% - - -
103 WODISKA Ava 20% 51% 25% 3% - - -
104 HE Xin 82% 16% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.