USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div III Women's Saber

Sunday, July 10, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIAO Siwen 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
2 DAVIS Jayna M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
3 SCOTT Eve 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
3 XIONG Haojiao 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
5 LIM Jaslene 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 36% 9%
6 DENG Brooke 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
7 NGUYEN Ella 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 23%
8 MULAGARI Sadhika 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
9 MUND Ruth 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 30% 6%
10 ZHANG Sophie 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 15%
11 ADAMS Morrigan B. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
12 MANN Sophia J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
13 ISBERG Natalie 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 33% 7%
14 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
15 DAVIS Charlotte 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
16 JOHNSTON Lily 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 25% 4%
17 TUNG Renee 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 13% 2%
18 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
19 EVANS Madelynn 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
20 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 24%
21 MANSPERGER Leena 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
22 DAI Olivia 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7%
22 SPRINGER Ella 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
24 FEIG Sela 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
25 SCHICK Veronica 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 14% 2%
26 BUHAY Kirsten M. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
27 LIN Sarah 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
28 TODD Peregrine 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
28 SHEN Jamie 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
30 FLATT Sophia 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
31 ROBINSON Stella 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 6%
32 NAYAK Anika 100% 84% 45% 12% 2% -
33 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 98% 83% 46% 14% 2% < 1%
34 MACDONALD Kaylie S. 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 6%
35 NAYAK Indra 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
36 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6%
37 HITOMI Nadya 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
38 BROWNER June 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
39 BARTON Mele 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
39 CHEN Kevy 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
41 GRAJALES Hannah E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
42 MORALES Victoria J. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
42 SU Emma 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
44 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 6%
45 SCHOEW Margot 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
46 ZHENG Valentina 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% -
47 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 3%
48 LIN Nicole 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
49 YOUNG Audrey 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
50 PANIGRAHI Kingsley 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
51 GOMERMAN Sophia 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
52 GRULICH Rayaana 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
53 NAYAK Esha 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
53 CHARLES Caitlin 100% 96% 73% 33% 8% 1% -
55 LI Victoria 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
56 REGANTI Sitara 100% 92% 60% 23% 5% - -
56 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
58 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 100% 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
59 YEN Natalie 100% 100% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
60 MUELLER Amelia D. 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
61 HUANG Madeline 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
62 FAN Grace 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 29% 6%
63 CARLUCCI Laura A. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
64 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
65 HORAN Alexa 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
66 WILSON Sophie 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -
67 FANG sophie 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
68 NAYAK Mira 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
69 SAWANT Asmi 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
70 LISSO Ria A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 31%
71 CHAN Kayla 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
72 MONTORIO Lily M. 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
73 BIRNSTILL Reese 100% 90% 53% 17% 3% - -
74 ZARETSKY Arielle 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 9%
75 GAJOWSKYJ Sophie K. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
76 ZOLLER Noelle 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 6% 1%
77 FREEDMAN Amelia F. 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
77 BAROUCH Susanna 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% 1% -
79 RODGERS Rachel 100% 84% 39% 9% 1% - -
79 MILLER Sophia 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
81 YAO Rainie 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
82 BERNSTEIN Aiden S. 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
83 PANIGRAHI Emersen 100% 100% 89% 60% 26% 6% 1%
84 CLEARY Mel 100% 96% 71% 26% 5% - -
85 LIM Jovine 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5%
86 IYER Arushi 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -
87 JEAN Emmanuelle C. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
88 WOODY Sophia 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
89 KEITH Margaret 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
90 HOLMES Sabrina 100% 94% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
90 EGAN Caroline 100% 88% 57% 23% 6% 1% -
90 TESTROET Aubrey 100% 72% 32% 8% 1% - -
93 COLBY Mercer 100% 98% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
94 GERASIMOVA Valeria 100% 58% 17% 2% - - -
95 STRAYER Sofia I. 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
95 LABRECQUE Savannah 100% 73% 34% 9% 2% - -
95 CHOW Caitlyn 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
98 LAZO Emily 100% 93% 68% 34% 11% 2% -
99 ERBSEN Sarah 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% - -
99 HERMAN Sabrina 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
99 RIESTERER Katherine 100% 65% 19% 3% - - -
102 PREIMESBERGER Elaine 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
103 WODISKA Ava 100% 80% 29% 3% - - -
104 HE Xin 100% 18% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.