USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, July 10, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AMR HOSSNY Sara 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
2 FEDELI Caterina S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95%
3 CALISE Ella 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
3 KIM Rachel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
5 MCSHERRY Ava 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 39%
6 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
7 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
8 YANG Iris 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
9 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 73%
10 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
11 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96%
12 SHEN Emilia 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 24%
13 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
14 XIE Lillian 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
15 YANG Audrey 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9%
16 LI Han 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 3% -
17 MANIKTALA Prisha 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
18 KAPUSTINA Arina 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
19 YANG Emma 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 47% 7%
20 LAI Sophia 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
20 SWANSON Alexa 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 3%
22 LIU Joy Zhaoyi 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
23 FENG Grace 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50% 2%
24 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 9%
25 HSU Kaylin 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
26 SHIM Grace J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 59%
27 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 5%
28 REN Kayley 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
29 YU Jane 100% 98% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
30 YAN Noelle 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 45% 8%
31 DAVIS Logan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 26%
32 WYNN Kylie 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
33 HO Addison 100% 100% 99% 93% 61% 13%
34 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% 1%
35 SUN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
36 DENG Melissa 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5% -
37 WANG CAROL 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13% 1%
38 LIU Enjia sherry 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 8%
39 BEAVER Ava 100% 100% 100% 91% 38% 1%
40 PAULUS Sloane 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 10%
41 FIELD Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 23%
42 PENG Charlotte 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21% 1%
43 LUO Miranda 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 11% 1%
44 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
45 LENK Sophie 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 1%
46 NIRGUDE Esha 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 4% -
46 HAN Gian 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7% -
48 BROWN Lola 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 13%
49 CULLIVAN Sienna 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
50 GUAN Adeline 100% 100% 100% 95% 51% 1%
51 TSIMIKLIS aphrodite 100% 100% 94% 65% 20% 2%
52 BING Charlotte 100% 97% 78% 37% 7% -
53 IQBAL Mariam 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 2% -
54 HARRIS Julia 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
55 KIM Chloe 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19% 1%
56 TAO Ann 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
57 WANG Sunny 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
58 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 100% 93% 63% 22% 3%
59 CHERNYKH Elina 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
60 VANMOORSEL Faye 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
61 WANG Joanna 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
62 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
63 HUSSIAN Annabelle 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
64 ZHANG Gwenyth 100% 99% 89% 56% 16% 1%
65 ZOU Ella 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 16% 1%
66 QUINTERO Camila 100% 97% 55% 15% 2% -
67 ZHANG Ivy 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% -
68 ALKADI Mai 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14% 1%
69 DUAN Sophie 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
70 LIU Elinda 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
71 MARTIN Sloan 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
72 KIM Sydney 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 3% -
73 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% -
74 GAO Anne 100% 100% 97% 77% 40% 9% -
75 BARTON Nanea 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 2% -
75 ZAMLYNNY Maya 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 2% -
77 COX Sophia 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% -
78 ZHANG Constance 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
79 TAN Isabella 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1% -
80 KRYLTSOVA Eva 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% - -
81 ZOLDAN Gweniveve A. 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7% -
82 WANG DINA C. 100% 97% 71% 26% 3% -
83 LIN Yunong 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% -
84 GUO Audrey 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
85 LI savannah 100% 89% 47% 6% - -
86 SHMUKLER Maria 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
87 STONE Sydney 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8% -
88 AADHI Hansika 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 2% -
89 TAN Dorathy 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% -
89 WANG Amabel 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13% 1%
91 DAVID Lilou J. 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
91 JIN Sophia 100% 97% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
91 BULLARD Sydney 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2% -
94 TEPMAN Alexandra D. 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
95 BLAKEY Heaven 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
96 CANO Sofia 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
97 LEE Madeleine 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1% -
98 DESAI Esha 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2% -
99 MUMMANENI Samyuta 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 13% -
100 HAN Mia 100% 97% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
101 MENG Annabel 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2%
102 FEDER Acadia 100% 69% 24% 4% - -
103 WANG Selina 100% 14% 1% - - -
104 MORSE Katherine 100% 93% 55% 15% 2% -
105 JIN Sophie 100% 61% 15% 1% - -
106 LIU Angelina 100% 55% 13% 1% - - -
107 CROMWELL Keira 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 1%
108 SAIFEE Zahra 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
109 DESERANNO Seren 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 18% 1%
110 CAO Kayla 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
110 PIQUETTE Annika 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
110 LI Xiang 100% 45% 8% 1% - - -
113 LI Joy 100% 84% 36% 8% 1% - -
114 PEDERSEN Haley 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
115 WU Elynna 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
116 LI Olivia 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
117 CHOI Sophie 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
118 MIYASHIRO Katelyn 100% 96% 74% 32% 7% 1%
118 LEE Allison 100% 34% 4% - - -
120 THERON Zoe 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% - -
121 OS Danielle 100% 100% 90% 54% 16% 1%
121 TULYAG Sayda 100% 60% 18% 3% - -
121 UHLIG Natalie 100% 78% 29% 2% - -
124 ZHANG Zoey 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
125 CHEN Sophie 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
126 JIN Amie 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
127 ZHU Riley 100% 68% 22% 3% - -
128 KIM Sophia 100% 83% 39% 9% 1% - -
129 SALMI-BYDALEK Ada 100% 92% 55% 18% 3% - -
130 GOITIA Genevieve 100% 84% 41% 10% 1% - -
131 WANG Emma 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
131 DENG Claire 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% - -
133 RUSSELL Bowen 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
133 KANG Marian 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.