The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-10 Men's Foil

Sunday, July 10, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FEDELI Francesco - - - 4% 27% 69%
2 YANG Charles - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
3 LI Bradley - - - 1% 12% 43% 44%
3 TOOMRE Kai - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
5 BIELER Mason - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
6 CHANG Eric Jonathan - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 6%
7 CHEN Hanson - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
8 HOU Gaven - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
9 SIMONOV Timofey - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
10 CHENG Logan - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
11 REN Ryan - 4% 14% 29% 31% 17% 4%
12 HUA Aaron - 1% 7% 28% 45% 19%
13 MO Ethan - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
14 FUKUDA Brando - 1% 6% 20% 33% 29% 11%
15 YU ShiYu (Henry) - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
16 SUAREZ David - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
17 ZHAO Nathan - - - 4% 24% 54% 18%
18 CHANG Jeremy - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
19 TANG Royce - 3% 18% 37% 32% 9%
20 DESERANNO Leander - - 1% 5% 23% 47% 25%
21 YU ShiLin (Harry) - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
22 QIAN Henry 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
23 LU Alex - - - 5% 25% 49% 22%
24 CHANG Jonathan - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
25 DOELL Ethan - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
26 WANDJI Noah - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
27 OZAWA Taishi 1% 11% 30% 37% 19% 2%
28 ONG Nicholas 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
29 KO Caleb 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
30 ZHOU Shawn - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
31 DULAI Agam 1% 8% 23% 32% 25% 10% 1%
32 PLUMMER Waylon - 3% 16% 38% 34% 9% 1%
33 LOZANO Veyron Jericho 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
34 XU Nathan - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
35 BURRES kenneth 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
36 WANG Ancen 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
37 RODRIGUEZ Tyler - - 3% 17% 44% 36%
38 ZHAO Ryan 2% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
39 PARK William - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
40 KIM Gene - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 21%
41 JIN Andy - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
42 HUANG Jinyao - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
43 NAIR Sujit 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
43 QIAN Zekai 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
45 BAI Austin 40% 43% 15% 2% < 1% - -
46 WU Thomas 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
47 GRIGORIEV Michael - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
48 ZHOU Alex 1% 8% 23% 32% 24% 10% 1%
49 CZARNECKI Thomas 23% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
50 YU Haochen 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
51 KIAYIAS Anthony 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
52 YE Jerry 42% 41% 14% 2% - - -
53 YAN Rian 2% 16% 35% 33% 13% 2%
54 WANG rainier 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% -
54 BURRES stuart 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
56 KIM Andrew 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% -
57 FANG Haoyu 4% 20% 36% 30% 10% 1%
58 KOE Declan 2% 14% 30% 32% 18% 5% 1%
59 LU Hansen - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
60 NABASSOUA Djibril 5% 21% 33% 26% 12% 3% -
61 KROPP Wesley 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
62 MAZAHERI Fletcher 26% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
63 XIE Jayden 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
64 NEMI Vin 38% 44% 15% 2% - -
65 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 20% 43% 28% 8% 1% -
66 WATERFIELD Lysander 1% 7% 26% 38% 24% 5%
67 HE Ian 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
68 KUANG Cyrus - 4% 20% 39% 29% 7% 1%
69 SHAW eric 6% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
70 PAULUS Gregory 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
71 HICKEY Dylan - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 2%
72 MCGRATH Milo 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
73 YAVENDITTI William 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
74 TAN Charlie 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
75 POPOKH Luca 3% 19% 39% 30% 8% 1%
76 LEE Thomas 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
77 RAU Shogun 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
78 HUSSENOEDER Nicholas - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
79 MCMILLIAN Harrison - - < 1% 2% 12% 39% 47%
80 WEI JR Shan 1% 5% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
81 LATORRE Leonardo 7% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1%
82 ALANAZI Saif - 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
83 JORGE Elijah 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
84 DIFRANK Tae 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1%
85 ALKADI Deen 6% 24% 37% 26% 7% -
86 YU Rainger 27% 44% 23% 5% - -
87 KIM Seoheul 20% 45% 27% 7% 1% -
88 TSENG Lucas 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% -
89 LEE Joshua 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% -
90 JIANG Kody 20% 44% 28% 7% 1% -
91 KIAYIAS Alexander 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
92 BEYDOUN Sam 1% 7% 22% 32% 26% 10% 2%
92 GE Felix Fei 3% 15% 30% 30% 17% 5% 1%
94 FERGUSON Levi - 1% 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
95 MARTIN Wesley 13% 37% 33% 13% 3% - -
96 ALVA Anmol - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
97 ULYSSE Jacob 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
98 DIFRANK Avery 1% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
99 ZHANG Hanson 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4% -
99 WENGER Rowan - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
101 HUANG Anthony 7% 27% 36% 23% 6% 1% -
102 KINGSLEY Griffin 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
102 LINEBERRY CADEN 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
104 BALLESTEROS Sebastian 4% 23% 41% 26% 6% 1% -
105 ZENG Albert 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
105 SHARMA Ari 11% 41% 35% 11% 1% - -
107 MAZAHERI Theodore 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
108 LIN Qianzhong 1% 11% 34% 37% 15% 2%
109 DLUTOWSKI Zachary 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
110 SOMMER Jameson 8% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
111 TEOH Liam 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
112 KOSCIK-AQUINO Nicholas 11% 31% 33% 18% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.