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USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-12 Women's Saber

Monday, July 11, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG XUANYI - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
2 SCHMIDT Isabel - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
3 CHIARELLI Valentina - - - 2% 13% 40% 46%
3 GAUTAM Sahana - - 4% 20% 45% 31%
5 HUAI Delilah - - - 3% 16% 40% 40%
6 FERNANDEZ Martina - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
7 ZENG Sarah - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
8 CHAN Jolene - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
9 KINKADE Ellie - 4% 18% 35% 31% 10%
10 LIU Yifei - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
11 YOUNG Charlotte G. - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
12 SHEARER Alena - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
13 WEI JoyAnn - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
14 KURAEVA Vasilisa - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
15 MALEK Zolie - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
16 WANG Callie - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
17 MYAT Chloe - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
18 FUNG Iris - 2% 15% 35% 35% 12%
19 LOO Kaitlyn - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 2%
20 FENG Alicia G. - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 9%
21 CHAN Madeleine V. - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
22 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
23 ARNOLD Hali - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
24 CHIANG Melissa 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
25 NELLIGAN Hutton 16% 40% 33% 10% 1% -
26 HSU leah - 2% 15% 37% 36% 11%
27 STONE Coral - - 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
28 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. - 4% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
29 FAVO Isabella 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
30 LEOU Korina - 1% 6% 21% 38% 29% 6%
31 VINOGOROVA Sofiia - - 5% 25% 46% 23%
32 ZHAI AMY 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
33 HAMMERSTROM Aria - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 2%
34 LIU Hannah 7% 31% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
35 KANG Ellie - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
36 CROOKS Riley - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 3%
37 MERCHANT Aishwarya - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 12%
38 HU Anna - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
39 BORGUETA Madison 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
40 LUKER Hannah 1% 13% 37% 34% 12% 2%
41 MANSPERGER Gia 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
42 GOLDIN Nina - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
43 TA-ZHOU Emma 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% -
44 SULLIVAN Madilyn R. 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% -
45 WENG Amber 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
46 BERRIOS Catalina - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
47 DANTULURI Shalini - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
48 XIONG Alina 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
49 HILD Anya 1% 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
50 CONG Anne - 1% 11% 29% 36% 20% 4%
51 FOSS Persephone - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
52 DHAR Layla - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
53 MEYERSON Michelle 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
53 HAN Emma 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
55 GONG Joy 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 4%
56 YANNOPOULOS Pompie 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
57 CHEN Elaine - 3% 19% 40% 30% 7%
58 GUGALA Hanna 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
59 WANG JiaQi 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
60 BUSH Bethany - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
61 CHAVAN Arya - 4% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
62 CASTELO Soleil 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
63 DHAR Rana 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
64 PARK Haylie 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
65 NEMORIN Rei 1% 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 1%
66 LEI Zitong (Meya) 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
67 GONZALEZ Veronika 1% 7% 27% 41% 21% 3%
68 CHOI Charlotte 25% 48% 23% 4% - -
69 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
70 DUCKETT Leighton 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
71 LEE Irene 9% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
72 KORINTH Jacqueline 1% 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
73 FAN Alexandria 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
74 KU Alathea-Joy - 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
75 ZHANG Olivia 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
76 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
77 LEE Tammy 11% 35% 35% 16% 3% - -
78 KWON Hannah 16% 36% 31% 14% 3% - -
79 LIANG Claire 9% 32% 39% 17% 3% -
79 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde 4% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1%
81 MUNGUIA Mila 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
82 GONG suri 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
83 LEE Alyson 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
84 SENGUPTA Jia 1% 10% 27% 34% 22% 6% 1%
85 KIM Karen 9% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
86 MUTHAPPAN Sahana 3% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
87 ZHU Avril 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
88 LIN Annika - 5% 20% 35% 29% 11% 1%
89 WANG Jiayi 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
90 JONES Veronica C. 44% 42% 12% 2% - - -
91 NARAYANAN Sinduja 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
92 KONZEN Iris 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% -
92 SINGER Ellery 29% 44% 22% 4% - -
94 MERMEGAS Olivia 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1%
94 YERENKOVA Ameliia 26% 44% 25% 5% - -
96 BRACKEN SÁENZ Olive 36% 45% 17% 3% - -
97 ORIA Isabel 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
98 SEO Yunseo 88% 12% 1% - - - -
99 GAN Shelby < 1% 4% 18% 37% 31% 9% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.