USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-12 Women's Saber

Monday, July 11, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
2 SCHMIDT Isabel 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
3 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
3 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
5 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40%
6 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
7 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
8 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
9 KINKADE Ellie 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
10 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
11 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
12 SHEARER Alena 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
13 WEI JoyAnn 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
14 KURAEVA Vasilisa 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
15 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
16 WANG Callie 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 17% 2%
17 MYAT Chloe 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 10%
18 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
19 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 2%
20 FENG Alicia G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 9%
21 CHAN Madeleine V. 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
22 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
23 ARNOLD Hali 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
24 CHIANG Melissa 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
25 NELLIGAN Hutton 100% 84% 44% 11% 1% -
26 HSU leah 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
27 STONE Coral 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
28 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
29 FAVO Isabella 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
30 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
31 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 23%
32 ZHAI AMY 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
33 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
34 LIU Hannah 100% 93% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
35 KANG Ellie 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
36 CROOKS Riley 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 19% 3%
37 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 12%
38 HU Anna 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
39 BORGUETA Madison 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
40 LUKER Hannah 100% 99% 86% 48% 14% 2%
41 MANSPERGER Gia 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
42 GOLDIN Nina 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
43 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
44 SULLIVAN Madilyn R. 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
45 WENG Amber 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
46 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
47 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
48 XIONG Alina 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6% -
49 HILD Anya 100% 99% 79% 40% 11% 2% -
50 CONG Anne 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
51 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
52 DHAR Layla 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
53 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
53 HAN Emma 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
55 GONG Joy 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
56 YANNOPOULOS Pompie 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
57 CHEN Elaine 100% 100% 97% 77% 38% 7%
58 GUGALA Hanna 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
59 WANG JiaQi 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% -
60 BUSH Bethany 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
61 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 12% 1%
62 CASTELO Soleil 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
63 DHAR Rana 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
64 PARK Haylie 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
65 NEMORIN Rei 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
66 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2%
67 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 3%
68 CHOI Charlotte 100% 75% 27% 4% - -
69 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 100% 94% 69% 35% 10% 2% -
70 DUCKETT Leighton 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
71 LEE Irene 100% 91% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
72 KORINTH Jacqueline 100% 99% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
73 FAN Alexandria 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
74 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
75 ZHANG Olivia 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
76 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
77 LEE Tammy 100% 89% 54% 19% 4% - -
78 KWON Hannah 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
79 LIANG Claire 100% 91% 60% 21% 3% -
79 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
81 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1%
82 GONG suri 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% -
83 LEE Alyson 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
84 SENGUPTA Jia 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
85 KIM Karen 100% 91% 60% 24% 6% 1% -
86 MUTHAPPAN Sahana 100% 97% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
87 ZHU Avril 100% 66% 24% 4% - - -
88 LIN Annika 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
89 WANG Jiayi 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
90 JONES Veronica C. 100% 56% 14% 2% - - -
91 NARAYANAN Sinduja 100% 85% 47% 15% 3% - -
92 KONZEN Iris 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% -
92 SINGER Ellery 100% 71% 27% 5% - -
94 MERMEGAS Olivia 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
94 YERENKOVA Ameliia 100% 74% 30% 6% - -
96 BRACKEN SÁENZ Olive 100% 64% 19% 3% - -
97 ORIA Isabel 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
98 SEO Yunseo 100% 12% 1% - - - -
99 GAN Shelby 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.