Neil Lazar RYC/Vet ROC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, September 23, 2018 at 3:00 PM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KOGAN Benjamin - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 18%
2 HUANG Alexander C. - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
3 HUANG Maxwell H. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
3 KIM Shaun M. - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9%
5 LEE Derek J. 5% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
6 SHOMAN Zachary - - 2% 13% 35% 37% 12%
7 SHTEIN Yan - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
8 LUTHRA Arjun - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
9 SHOMAN Noah - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
10 TASIKAS Stylianos - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
11 MALONE Gregory D. 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
12 GILSON Lucas B. - 2% 14% 33% 36% 14%
13 ZHENG Edward L. 2% 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
14 BONIFIELD Arthur G. - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
14 DENG Andrew 1% 11% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
16 BAE Jason I. 4% 18% 32% 29% 13% 3% -
17 BUCHMANN Finn D. - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
18 KOVACH Jonah F. - 4% 21% 38% 28% 8%
19 RODE Leon J. 2% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
20 NOURELDIN Gabriel - 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
21 SULLIVAN Aidan J. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
22 KILGALLEN William - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5%
23 LEONARD Charles 8% 33% 37% 18% 4% - -
24 WAXLER Seth B. - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
25 WANG Robert - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
26 HUANG Connor 6% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
27 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 6% 30% 38% 21% 5% -
28 FIELDS Matthew S. 4% 21% 37% 28% 10% 1%
29 WEBER Mattias A. 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
30 SIMMONS John M. 11% 38% 34% 14% 3% - -
31 OH Triton 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
32 SMINK Oliver 24% 45% 25% 5% - - -
33 TURCK Caspar J. - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
34 MILLER Guy 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
35 CHTERENTAL Alex 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
36 SHIPITSIN Alexander - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
37 SAVOY Luca 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
38 CHUANG Tristan 10% 43% 36% 10% 1% - -
38 CHENG Cody 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
40 WITCZAK Mateus - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
41 BOULAIS Andrew D. 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
42 LIN Philip T. 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
43 SHINCHUK Daniel < 1% 1% 10% 33% 37% 16% 2%
44 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
45 DRUZHININ Michael 14% 36% 34% 13% 2% - -
46 MANGAN Daniel Marsh 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
47 YUAN William 11% 33% 35% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.