New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | KOGAN Benjamin | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.6 | 6 | +1.4 |
| 2 | HUANG Alexander C. | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 3.8 | 6 | +2.2 |
| 3 | HUANG Maxwell H. | V D V V V V | V V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 3 | KIM Shaun M. | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 5 | LEE Derek J. | V V D V V V | V V D | 2.0 | 5 | +3.0 |
| 6 | SHOMAN Zachary | V V V D V V | V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 7 | SHTEIN Yan | V V V D V V | V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 8 | LUTHRA Arjun | V V V V D V | V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 9 | SHOMAN Noah | V D V V V V | V D | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 10 | TASIKAS Stylianos | V V V V D V | V D | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| 11 | MALONE Gregory D. | V V V V D | V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 12 | GILSON Lucas B. | V V V D V | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 13 | ZHENG Edward L. | D V V V V D | V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 14 | BONIFIELD Arthur G. | V V D D V V | V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 14 | DENG Andrew | V D D V V V | V V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 16 | BAE Jason I. | D V D D V V | V V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 17 | BUCHMANN Finn D. | V D V V V V | D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 18 | KOVACH Jonah F. | V V D V V | D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 19 | RODE Leon J. | D V D V V V | D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 20 | NOURELDIN Gabriel | V V D V V D | D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 21 | SULLIVAN Aidan J. | D V V V D D | V D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 22 | KILGALLEN William | V D V V D D | V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 23 | LEONARD Charles | V D V V D D | V D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 24 | WAXLER Seth B. | D V V D V D | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 25 | WANG Robert | V V D V D D | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 26 | HUANG Connor | D V D D V | V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 27 | VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil | D D V V D | V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 28 | FIELDS Matthew S. | D D V D V | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 29 | WEBER Mattias A. | D D D V V | V D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 30 | SIMMONS John M. | D V D V D D | V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 31 | OH Triton | D D V D V D | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 32 | SMINK Oliver | D V D D D V | V D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 33 | TURCK Caspar J. | V D V D D | D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 34 | MILLER Guy | V D D V D | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 35 | CHTERENTAL Alex | V D D V D D | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 36 | SHIPITSIN Alexander | D D V D D V | D | 4.1 | 2 | -2.1 |
| 37 | SAVOY Luca | D V D D D | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 38 | CHUANG Tristan | D D D D D V | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 38 | CHENG Cody | D V D D D D | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 40 | WITCZAK Mateus | D D D V D D | D | 4.1 | 1 | -3.1 |
| 41 | BOULAIS Andrew D. | D D D D D V | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 42 | LIN Philip T. | D D D D D V | D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 43 | SHINCHUK Daniel | D D D D D D | D | 3.6 | 0 | -3.6 |
| 44 | FRANCOIS Alexander C. | D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 45 | DRUZHININ Michael | D D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 46 | MANGAN Daniel Marsh | D D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 47 | YUAN William | D D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.