Event Results
Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | RIGHTLER Samuel | V V D V V | V V V V V | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 2 | AL-NASSER Mahmoud | V V V V V V | V V V D | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
| 3 | CROMPTON Adam C. | V V V V D | V V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 3 | CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. | D V V D V D | V V V D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 5 | SCHARDINE James | V V V V V | V D | 2.7 | 5 | +2.3 |
| 6 | TENG MATTHEW | V V D V V V | V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 7 | PAN Alex | V D V V V V | V D | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| 8 | WANG Nicolas | V D V D V V | V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 9 | REN Richard | V D V V V V | D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 10 | STREB JR. Joseph T. | V V V D V D | V D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 11 | MURZYN III Cj | V V V D D | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 12 | FISIC Vasilije | D V V V D | V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 13 | BOUKHTIN Maxim | D D D V V | V D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 14 | RIGGINS Littleton K. | D D D V V | V D | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| 15 | CHAVES Matthew J. | D V D D D V | V D | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| 16 | BIRKS Evan D. | V D D D V D | V D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 17 | AKS Ari | D V V V D D | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 18 | ZHU Charlie | D D V D V | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 19 | ZHOU James Y. | V V D D D | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 20 | KLEBS Robert | D D V D V | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 21 | RIESTERER Jacob | V D D D D | D | 0.3 | 1 | +0.7 |
| 22 | OJE Chuku | D D V D D D | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 23 | FARIDI Imran | V D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 24 | CONN Jackson | D D D V D D | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 25 | MCCLUNG Gavin | D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 26 | SEWARD Darian | D D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |