Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Friday, March 11, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Ohio Expo Center - Kasich Hall - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RIGHTLER Samuel - 1% 11% 31% 39% 18%
2 AL-NASSER Mahmoud - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
3 CROMPTON Adam C. - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
3 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
5 SCHARDINE James 1% 8% 30% 42% 17% 2%
6 TENG MATTHEW - 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 7%
7 PAN Alex 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
8 WANG Nicolas - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
9 REN Richard - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
10 STREB JR. Joseph T. - - 2% 13% 35% 38% 11%
11 MURZYN III Cj - 4% 22% 40% 28% 6%
12 FISIC Vasilije - 1% 10% 30% 41% 17%
13 BOUKHTIN Maxim 2% 24% 41% 25% 7% 1%
14 RIGGINS Littleton K. - 1% 6% 28% 46% 18%
15 CHAVES Matthew J. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 3%
16 BIRKS Evan D. 4% 25% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
17 AKS Ari 3% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
18 ZHU Charlie 1% 20% 41% 29% 8% 1%
19 ZHOU James Y. 17% 41% 32% 9% 1% -
20 KLEBS Robert 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
21 RIESTERER Jacob 76% 22% 2% - - -
22 OJE Chuku 2% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
23 FARIDI Imran 23% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
24 CONN Jackson 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -
25 MCCLUNG Gavin 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
26 SEWARD Darian 13% 47% 31% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.