Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYC

Div II Women's Foil

Friday, March 11, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Ohio Expo Center - Kasich Hall - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUO ZIWEN 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
2 POWERS Meredith R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
3 LEE Ariana 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
3 YANG Lingting 100% 100% 99% 88% 41% 7%
5 KO Claire 100% 97% 78% 43% 12% 1%
6 BOLES Sophia 100% 100% 100% 99% 82% 35%
7 BAWA Sahana 100% 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
8 DRAGNE Alexis D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 77% 28%
9 SCHMIDT Victoria 100% 100% 93% 67% 26% 4%
10 OFFERLE Judith (Jude) A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
11 KANG Jiyoon 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
12 LI Shuang 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
13 OWEN Ashley 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 15%
14 PARK Leah 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
15 GANDLURI Sreehitha (Sarah) 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
16 BASSIK Eva 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
17 WIERENGA Esther 100% 69% 17% 2% - -
18 MAO Rebecca J. 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 6%
19 HAN Katherine 100% 92% 55% 11% 1% -
20 WATERS Samantha M. 100% 93% 66% 28% 5% -
21 COLLINS Anna 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 3% -
22 BONGADO Noreen 100% 97% 79% 44% 12% 1%
23 SCARLETT Skye 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
24 ROMANO Megan C. 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
25 FOLIO Isabella 100% 100% 90% 53% 16% 2%
26 GUILLEN Mikaela 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 1%
27 TOMASI Samantha 100% 76% 28% 3% - -
28 GRAY Martha R. 100% 91% 49% 14% 2% - -
29 WESTFALL Iris 100% 70% 25% 4% - -
30 BETTRIDGE Jessica 100% 64% 16% 1% - -
31 BAUSTERT Kathryn 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.