Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYC

Junior Women's Épée

Friday, March 11, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Ohio Expo Center - Kasich Hall - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHEN Stephanie 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
2 GORNOVSKY Abigail 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
3 SEMIKIN Julia 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
3 SUN MANRONG 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
5 KIZILBASH Zara 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 18%
6 HONG Elaine 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
7 MIINEA Elena 100% 100% 92% 64% 26% 4%
8 BOLES Savvianna 100% 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
9 AI Amy 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 4%
10 POPA Catherine 100% 98% 78% 39% 10% 1% -
11 LI Zhenni (Jenny) 100% 100% 91% 60% 22% 3%
12 DENG Annie 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
13 ZHU-HILL Alice A. 100% 99% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
14 MANCELL Hope 100% 95% 59% 20% 3% -
15 FAN Elizabeth 100% 98% 82% 47% 13% 1%
16 LIN Ashley 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
17 GORMAN Simone 100% 30% 4% - - -
18 GUSKA Jenn 100% 24% 2% - - - -
19 CAVRELL Elizabeth 100% 67% 24% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.