Event Results
Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | DESERANNO Jeidus | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 5.9 | 6 | +0.1 |
| 2 | CULLIVAN Justice | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| 3 | ZHANG Yun Isaac | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 3 | PALMA Matthew Dominic | V V V V | V V V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 5 | LU Yikai | V V V V V | V V D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 6 | PARK Sky | D V V V V V | V V D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 7 | BURBERRY Alan | D V V V V | V V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 8 | LIM Lance Jeremiah | D V V D | V V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 9 | WONG Antonio | V V V V V | V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 10 | STRINGER David | V D V V V V | V D | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| 11 | REEVES Liam | V D V V V | V D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 12 | RAJPAL Alastair | D V V V V | V D | 1.9 | 4 | +2.1 |
| 13 | GOGOI Vir K. | V V V D | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 14 | YAO Bradley | V V V V D D | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 15 | EDWARDS Maxon | D V V D V | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 16 | SANTOS Carlos R. | V D D V V | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 17 | PAI Lakshan K. | D V V V D V | D | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| 18 | XU Xinhao ( Sonny) | V D D V D V | D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 19 | FINDLAY Zachary | V D D D V V | D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 20 | MCISAAC Finn | D D V V D | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 21 | JOBE Connor M. | V V D D D | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 22 | HE Ayden P. | V D D V D | D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 23 | PALMA Nathan Anthony | D V D D D V | D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 24 | NAZARIO Dominic | V V D D D D | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 25 | BIESIADA Jan | D D D V | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 26 | SENIC Lucas | D D V D D | D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 27 | TAMIYA Masao | D V D D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 28 | LAI Twayne | V D D D D | V D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 29 | REAUME Nate | D D D D V | V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 30 | DUNLAP Ian | V D D D D | V D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 31 | TOWNE Benjamin | D D D V D D | V D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 32 | VANOYEN Dominick | D D D D | V D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 33 | ARMSTRONG David | D V D D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 34 | GOODLIN Sean | D D D D V D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 35 | BUDD Edison | D D D D D | D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| 36 | EGE Nathan | D D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 37 | DWITYABASWARA Emil | D D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |