Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Friday, March 11, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Ohio Expo Center - Kasich Hall - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CULLIVAN Sienna - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
2 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
3 DESERANNO Seren 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
3 STONE Sydney 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
5 CROMWELL Keira - 1% 7% 33% 43% 15%
6 ZOLDAN Gweniveve A. 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 2%
7 DIRKES Catherine - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
8 TAN Dorathy 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
9 AADHI Hansika - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
10 RUPERT Ellie - 2% 9% 25% 36% 23% 5%
11 JIN Sophia 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
12 FECHER Lily - 5% 22% 39% 28% 5%
13 HUANG Natalie - - 3% 20% 49% 28%
14 KOSCIK-AQUINO Emily - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
15 ADLER Zoe 3% 19% 40% 30% 7% 1%
16 MUMMANENI Samyuta - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
17 MALONE Ella 2% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% -
18 LYON Claire - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
19 SCHMALTZ Savannah 37% 43% 17% 3% - -
20 MORSE Katherine 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
21 KUMBRINK Emily - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
22 LIN Kenzie 24% 39% 26% 9% 2% - -
23 SHEBL Nadia 10% 28% 34% 20% 7% 1% -
24 WOODLEY Isabella 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
25 LIN Athena 19% 49% 27% 5% - -
26 WANG Esther 3% 18% 36% 29% 11% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.