Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Friday, March 11, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Ohio Expo Center - Kasich Hall - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CULLIVAN Sienna 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
2 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
3 DESERANNO Seren 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
3 STONE Sydney 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
5 CROMWELL Keira 100% 100% 99% 92% 59% 15%
6 ZOLDAN Gweniveve A. 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
7 DIRKES Catherine 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
8 TAN Dorathy 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
9 AADHI Hansika 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
10 RUPERT Ellie 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
11 JIN Sophia 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 2%
12 FECHER Lily 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 5%
13 HUANG Natalie 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 28%
14 KOSCIK-AQUINO Emily 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
15 ADLER Zoe 100% 97% 78% 38% 8% 1%
16 MUMMANENI Samyuta 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 11%
17 MALONE Ella 100% 98% 84% 53% 22% 5% -
18 LYON Claire 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
19 SCHMALTZ Savannah 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
20 MORSE Katherine 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
21 KUMBRINK Emily 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
22 LIN Kenzie 100% 76% 37% 11% 2% - -
23 SHEBL Nadia 100% 90% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
24 WOODLEY Isabella 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% -
25 LIN Athena 100% 81% 32% 5% - -
26 WANG Esther 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.