Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYC

Div II Women's Épée

Friday, March 11, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Ohio Expo Center - Kasich Hall - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GORNOVSKY Abigail - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
2 PINNAMANENI Drithi 6% 26% 39% 24% 5%
3 POPA Catherine - 4% 31% 42% 20% 3%
3 LI Zhenni (Jenny) 5% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
5 CAREY Michele S. 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
6 DENG Annie 5% 29% 40% 21% 5% -
7 TIMMONS Sarah J. 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
8 RUSCONI Jane - 7% 27% 38% 22% 5%
9 BOLES Savvianna 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
10 AI Amy - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
11 KIZILBASH Zara 4% 21% 38% 29% 8%
12 SUN MANRONG 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
13 HONG Elaine - 4% 22% 40% 28% 6%
14 MIINEA Elena 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3%
15 LIN Ashley 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
16 POWERS Meredith R. - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
17 FAN Elizabeth 15% 37% 34% 13% 2%
18 DREYER Nadia S. 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1%
19 SOARE Maria Elena 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% -
20 GORMAN Simone 62% 33% 4% - - -
21 ZHU-HILL Alice A. 13% 36% 35% 14% 2%
22 THARP Jayden 7% 31% 40% 18% 3% -
23 KING Elizabeth 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.