Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYC

Div II Women's Épée

Friday, March 11, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Ohio Expo Center - Kasich Hall - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GORNOVSKY Abigail 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
2 PINNAMANENI Drithi 100% 94% 68% 29% 5%
3 POPA Catherine 100% 100% 96% 65% 23% 3%
3 LI Zhenni (Jenny) 100% 95% 72% 33% 8% 1%
5 CAREY Michele S. 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
6 DENG Annie 100% 95% 66% 27% 5% -
7 TIMMONS Sarah J. 100% 99% 93% 67% 26%
8 RUSCONI Jane 100% 100% 92% 65% 27% 5%
9 BOLES Savvianna 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
10 AI Amy 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
11 KIZILBASH Zara 100% 96% 75% 37% 8%
12 SUN MANRONG 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
13 HONG Elaine 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 6%
14 MIINEA Elena 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
15 LIN Ashley 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
16 POWERS Meredith R. 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
17 FAN Elizabeth 100% 85% 48% 14% 2%
18 DREYER Nadia S. 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1%
19 SOARE Maria Elena 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
20 GORMAN Simone 100% 38% 4% - - -
21 ZHU-HILL Alice A. 100% 87% 51% 16% 2%
22 THARP Jayden 100% 93% 62% 22% 3% -
23 KING Elizabeth 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.