Event Results
Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | ELYADERANI Paxon | V V V V V | V V V V | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 2 | PAN Tristan | D D V V D | V V V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 3 | KRZYSIAK David F. | V V V D V | V V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 3 | SONN Rohan | D V D V V | V V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 5 | HU Anton | D V V V V | V D | 1.5 | 4 | +2.5 |
| 6 | PRABHAKAR Agasthya | V D V V D | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 7 | JONES Reilly | D V D V V | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 8 | SPINA Joseph B. | D D D V D | V V D | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| 9 | FANG Hanning | V V V V V | D | 2.1 | 5 | +2.9 |
| 10 | CHAI Ethan | V D V D V | D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 11 | POPA Ethan | V D V V D | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 12 | CHUTKAY Sai Pratham | D V V D D | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 13 | DUNKLIN Cameron | D V D D V | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 14 | GINZBURG Adam | V D D D V | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 15 | ZOGRAFOS Nicholas | V D D D D | D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 16 | LEE DoWon | D V D D D | V D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 17 | DWITYABASWARA Emil | V D D D D | D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 18 | DIVELY Connor | D D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |