Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYC

Junior Women's Foil

Saturday, March 12, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Ohio Expo Center - Kasich Hall - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TALAVERA Daena 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
2 DEBACK Greta I. 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 26%
3 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 68%
3 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
5 SARTORI Taylor M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
6 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 31%
7 NAMGALAURI Mariam 100% 100% 99% 84% 40%
8 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
9 MEI Sarah 100% 100% 99% 88% 47% 6%
10 MASSICK Laine 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 42%
11 LEE Ariana 100% 100% 94% 62% 17%
12 LUO ZIWEN 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 18%
13 HALL Velma 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 47%
14 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 100% 99% 91% 51% 10%
15 HAYES Alyssa R. 100% 97% 78% 38% 7% -
16 KANG Jiyoon 100% 99% 85% 48% 14% 1%
17 TAN Clarisse 100% 100% 100% 95% 60% 14%
18 KO Claire 100% 100% 93% 59% 17% 1% -
19 BAWA Sahana 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 9% -
20 SHENG Chuxi 100% 100% 98% 80% 33% 3%
21 SCHMIDT Victoria 100% 99% 83% 35% 6% -
22 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 100% 94% 62% 22% 4% -
23 LEE Fiona E. 100% 100% 71% 25% 3%
24 DRAGNE Alexis D. 100% 100% 95% 68% 19% 2%
25 BURBERRY Livia 100% 95% 65% 20% 2% -
26 BIODROWICZ Julia 100% 99% 86% 51% 15% 2%
26 PARK Leah 100% 90% 47% 10% 1% -
28 ZHUANG Sophie 100% 100% 92% 59% 17% 1% -
29 YANG Lingting 100% 100% 74% 27% 3%
30 HSIEH Rebecca 100% 92% 60% 20% 2% -
31 SKOURLETOS Maria 100% 90% 56% 17% 2% -
32 BONGADO Noreen 100% 44% 9% 1% - -
33 WIERENGA Esther 100% 67% 20% 1% - -
34 SCARLETT Skye 100% 70% 26% 4% - -
35 GRAY Martha R. 100% 81% 26% 3% - -
36 HSIEH Sabrina 100% 41% 7% - - -
37 FOLIO Isabella 100% 84% 40% 7% - -
38 WESTFALL Iris 100% 55% 11% 1% - - -
39 SOLOMIE Sabina 100% 83% 38% 4% - -
40 GUSKA Jenn 100% 2% - - -
41 HOOGSTRA Lucy 100% 39% 4% - - -
42 ZHAO Aimee 100% 71% 19% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.