Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYC

Div I-A Women's Foil

Sunday, March 13, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Ohio Expo Center - Kasich Hall - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
2 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
3 DEBACK Greta I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
3 HALL Velma 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 21%
5 MASSICK Laine 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 27%
6 NAMGALAURI Mariam 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
7 LUO ZIWEN 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
8 LI Shuang 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 5% -
9 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 16%
10 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
11 TALAVERA Daena 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 36%
12 BAWA Sahana 100% 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
13 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 40%
14 MEI Sarah 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6% -
15 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
16 TAN Clarisse 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
17 POWERS Meredith R. 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
18 HAYES Alyssa R. 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
19 BOLES Sophia 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14% 2%
20 SKOURLETOS Maria 100% 97% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
21 SARTORI Taylor M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 57% 16%
22 LEE Fiona E. 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
23 OWEN Ashley 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% 1%
24 SHENG Chuxi 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2% -
25 YANG Lingting 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
26 LEE Ariana 100% 99% 85% 47% 11% 1%
27 DRAGNE Alexis D. 100% 98% 82% 42% 9% 1%
28 BASSIK Eva 100% 97% 64% 23% 4% - -
29 BURBERRY Livia 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
30 HSIEH Rebecca 100% 93% 60% 22% 4% - -
31 MAO Rebecca J. 100% 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
32 KANG Jiyoon 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
33 KO Claire 100% 93% 58% 19% 3% - -
34 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 100% 90% 50% 13% 1% -
35 ROMANO Megan C. 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
36 HSIEH Sabrina 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
37 WIERENGA Esther 100% 42% 7% 1% - - -
38 BASSIK Judith M. 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
39 DEMOSS Mercedes 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
40 WESTFALL Iris 100% 20% 2% - - - -
40 GUILLEN Mikaela 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.