Statistics Profile

Julian Tyson

1949

Riverside Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2583	2344 - 2821	2583	3768
Épée	Direct elimination	3023	2679 - 3366	2707	3549
Foil	Pool	2930	2612 - 3247	2363	2992
Foil	Direct elimination	3157	2681 - 3632	2546	3157

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.