Statistics Profile

Peter Calderon

1943

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1803	1377 - 2228	1803	2278
Épée	Direct elimination	1736	599 - 2872	1736	2079
Foil	Pool	2675	2182 - 3167	2625	3584
Foil	Direct elimination	2310	1500 - 3119	2310	2590
Saber	Pool	1668	1173 - 2162	1267	1673
Saber	Direct elimination	1957	1153 - 2760	1957	2569

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.