Statistics Profile

James Rose

1951

Cape Cod Fencers

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	272	0 - 741	272	968
Foil	Direct elimination	988	267 - 1708	988	1902
Saber	Pool	250	0 - 645	250	1243
Saber	Direct elimination	861	232 - 1489	861	2034

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.