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Statistics Profile

Mike Papp

Verified
1970
Rockford Fencing Club Illinois Fencing Academy

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1695 1513 - 1876 1665 2385
Épée Direct elimination 1958 1671 - 2244 1958 3186
Foil Pool 1654 1388 - 1919 1475 1772
Foil Direct elimination 1305 822 - 1787 1169 1667
Saber Pool 1222 899 - 1544 852 1596
Saber Direct elimination 1169 542 - 1795 1169 2036

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.