Statistics Profile

Elizabeth Burnham

1969

Thames River Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1643	1240 - 2045	1643	2116
Épée	Direct elimination	1207	322 - 2091	1207	1886
Foil	Pool	1581	967 - 2194	1328	1581
Foil	Direct elimination	1854	949 - 2758	1659	1854
Saber	Pool	1681	1495 - 1866	1679	2850
Saber	Direct elimination	1990	1677 - 2302	1976	2569

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.