Statistics Profile

David Drake

1956

Team Touche Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2108	1130 - 3085	2108	2108
Épée	Direct elimination	2695	1219 - 4170	2695	2695
Foil	Pool	2002	1819 - 2184	1980	2529
Foil	Direct elimination	2107	1820 - 2393	2107	2705

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.