The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE FOR:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem on May 13th!

Statistics Profile

David Drake

1956
Is this your profile? Register with your USFA ID to claim it.
Claim profile

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2108 1130 - 3085 2108 2108
Épée Direct elimination 2695 1219 - 4170 2695 2695
Foil Pool 1982 1799 - 2164 1979 2528
Foil Direct elimination 2150 1856 - 2443 2150 2705

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

Register to view this matchup

Create a free account with your USFA number to unlock projected win chances and strength changes.

Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.