Statistics Profile

Brendan McConville

1983

Cape Fear Fencing Association Forge Fencing Teams DUR

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2271	1989 - 2552	2055	2661
Épée	Direct elimination	2242	1801 - 2682	1598	2443
Foil	Pool	1622	1301 - 1942	1622	2243
Foil	Direct elimination	2037	1455 - 2618	1814	2058

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.