Statistics Profile

Bruce Milligan

1951

Savage Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1836	1576 - 2095	1836	2632
Épée	Direct elimination	1494	875 - 2112	1494	1980
Foil	Pool	2038	1794 - 2281	2038	2572
Foil	Direct elimination	2341	1903 - 2778	2079	2693

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.