Statistics Profile

Justin Meehan

1970

Orion Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2691	2448 - 2933	2596	3210
Épée	Direct elimination	3020	2703 - 3336	2521	3020
Foil	Pool	2116	1718 - 2513	2116	2760
Foil	Direct elimination	2479	1989 - 2968	2479	2972
Saber	Pool	2394	2153 - 2634	2290	3291
Saber	Direct elimination	2239	1915 - 2562	2092	3212

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.