Statistics Profile

Andrew Cotlar

1968

Bucks County Academy Of Fencing - West

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1785	1604 - 1965	1763	2416
Épée	Direct elimination	1749	1448 - 2049	1749	2815
Foil	Pool	2304	2087 - 2520	2286	2517
Foil	Direct elimination	2328	1953 - 2702	1521	2551
Saber	Pool	1492	565 - 2418	1492	1492
Saber	Direct elimination	2044	702 - 3385	2044	2044

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.