Statistics Profile

Deborah Theriault

1952

Pittsburgh Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1683	1334 - 2031	1683	2184
Épée	Direct elimination	1635	927 - 2342	1635	2317
Foil	Pool	2237	1946 - 2527	2237	2968
Foil	Direct elimination	2732	2306 - 3157	1770	3083

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.