Statistics Profile

Dick Richards

1956

DC Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2757	2568 - 2945	2560	3493
Épée	Direct elimination	3214	2984 - 3443	3071	3553
Saber	Pool	1533	651 - 2414	1533	1533
Saber	Direct elimination	2139	786 - 3491	2139	2139

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.