Statistics Profile

Nathan Anderson

1973

Denver Fencing Center Denver Fencing Foundation

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2516	2274 - 2757	2441	3418
Épée	Direct elimination	3227	2877 - 3576	3067	3562
Foil	Pool	2655	2444 - 2865	2655	3547
Foil	Direct elimination	3391	3160 - 3621	2848	3691
Saber	Pool	2225	1976 - 2473	2207	2571
Saber	Direct elimination	2312	1910 - 2713	1884	2461

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.