Statistics Profile

Julie Seal

Verified
1972
Valkyrie Fencing Club

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2615 2135 - 3094 2541 2685
Épée Direct elimination 2754 1756 - 3751 2554 2754
Foil Pool 2687 2502 - 2871 2597 3218
Foil Direct elimination 3282 3088 - 3475 2820 3729
Saber Pool 2506 2318 - 2693 2506 2973
Saber Direct elimination 3255 3034 - 3475 2924 3681

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.