Statistics Profile

William Becker

1965

Jacksonville Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2009	1238 - 2779	2009	2009
Foil	Direct elimination	2200	804 - 3595	2200	2200
Saber	Pool	3228	2994 - 3461	2497	3390
Saber	Direct elimination	3399	3166 - 3631	3086	3907

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.