Statistics Profile

Ray Blair

1959

Naples Fencing Academy Southwest Florida Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1799	1611 - 1986	1683	2625
Foil	Direct elimination	1954	1594 - 2313	1908	2496
Saber	Pool	1796	1614 - 1977	1778	2421
Saber	Direct elimination	2109	1807 - 2410	1514	2312

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.