Statistics Profile

Daniel Gorman

1971

Houston Sword Sports

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1888	1472 - 2303	1724	1888
Foil	Direct elimination	2542	1915 - 3168	1911	2542
Saber	Pool	2262	1948 - 2575	2262	3122
Saber	Direct elimination	2564	2187 - 2940	2554	3426

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.