Statistics Profile

Christopher Herrod

Verified
1965
Valkyrie Fencing Club

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2076 1814 - 2337 2076 2308
Épée Direct elimination 2150 1713 - 2586 1485 2162
Foil Pool 1456 814 - 2097 1456 1456
Foil Direct elimination 1683 529 - 2836 1683 1683
Saber Pool 1844 1365 - 2322 1844 2099
Saber Direct elimination 1790 645 - 2934 1790 2002

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.