Statistics Profile

David Neevel

1969

Caliburn Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	827	115 - 1538	827	827
Épée	Direct elimination	1568	438 - 2697	1568	1568
Foil	Pool	1562	1149 - 1974	1562	1927
Foil	Direct elimination	1819	930 - 2707	1819	1995

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.