Statistics Profile

Paul Brown

1952

New Orleans Fencers Club Mobetes

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1741	1464 - 2017	1540	1879
Épée	Direct elimination	1930	1365 - 2494	1886	2496
Saber	Pool	1489	334 - 2643	1489	1489
Saber	Direct elimination	3044	1715 - 4372	3044	3044

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.