Statistics Profile

James Adams

1939

DC Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2226	1864 - 2587	2226	3361
Épée	Direct elimination	2831	2212 - 3449	2831	3738
Foil	Pool	2247	1620 - 2873	1852	2247
Foil	Direct elimination	2370	1510 - 3229	1971	2370
Saber	Pool	2573	1917 - 3228	2573	3516
Saber	Direct elimination	2862	2136 - 3587	2744	3172

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.