Statistics Profile

Donald Cravey

1955

Royal Arts Fencing Academy

Is this your profile? Register with your USFA ID to claim it.

Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2510	2163 - 2856	2294	3385
Épée	Direct elimination	2807	2295 - 3318	2667	3107
Foil	Pool	2358	1881 - 2834	1873	2401
Foil	Direct elimination	2737	1758 - 3715	2737	3227
Saber	Pool	2255	1813 - 2696	1905	2255
Saber	Direct elimination	2547	1897 - 3196	2237	2547

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Create a free account with your USFA number to unlock projected win chances and strength changes.

Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.